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Feb 25 / The BALD BULL

#23 Bear Markets: How to Spot One Before It Mauls Your Portfolio (And Your Sanity)

WARNING: A Bear Might Be Lurking in Your Portfolio! One minute, the market’s soaring—your trades are printing, life is good. The next? BAM! Your gains vanish faster than your weekend plans. Is it just a dip, or is a full-blown bear market about to maul your portfolio? If you don’t know the difference, you’re playing a dangerous game. In this blog, we’ll break down how to spot a bear market before it bites, the traps that fool even seasoned traders, and how to stay profitable while everyone else panics. Survival Tip: The biggest rallies happen inside bear markets—don’t get suckered! Read on before the bear gets you!
Bull markets don’t die of old age; they are killed by central banks and market uncertainty.”
  | STOCK MARKET PROVERB
       
      

# 23
"Is That a Dip or a Death Trap?"

(5) FIVE Signs the Bear Market is About to Wreck You.


Welcome to the financial wilderness, where the air smells like money, but lurking behind every green candle is a bear ready to shred your portfolio.

Think it’s a sunny day with the market up 2% at all time highs? Cute. That’s exactly when the claws come out. If you don’t know how to read the signs, that “nice day” can freeze you in your tracks faster than you can scream, “Buy the dip!”

Let’s teach you how to spot the BEAR before it turns you into portfolio roadkill.

The Market’s Dirty Little Secrets (Know the Enemy):

Watching CNBC will rot your brain and confuse you with interchangeable terms!

Ever spent five minutes watching CNBC only to realize you’re more confused than a chameleon in a bag of Skittles?

Those talking heads throw around terms like they’re interchangeable—but trust me, misreading the signals and NOT using the proper technical indicators in a chart will land you in a world of pain faster than you can yell "Jim Cramer!"

Here’s the real scoop on the market jargon that keeps rookies broke and pros laughing all the way to the Hampton's in a market sell-off:

VOCABULARY TO KNOW

Here are some key terms to put in your vernacular to decipher the news cycle and profit like a pro!
  •  PROFIT-TAKING

    This sounds innocent—almost classy. In reality? It’s Wall Street pros secretly sneaking out of the party with their pockets stuffed full of cash, leaving you holding stocks that suddenly tank faster than Netflix after bad subscriber numbers. CNBC calls it "healthy consolidation." I call it getting mugged in broad daylight.


       
  •  PULL BACK

    CNBC loves this one—it’s their polite way of describing a quick 5%–10% drop. Just a "temporary setback," they reassure. Think of it as the market giving you a playful slap on the face. It stings, but you’re still standing. Now, wipe your tears and get back in there, rookie.

  •  CORRECTION

    This is Wall Street’s polite way of telling you, "Sit down, hotshot—you’re not as smart as you think." It’s a 10%–20% decline meant to shake out amateurs who bought high. CNBC might say the market is "finding its footing," but the reality is, your ego is flat on its face.


  •  DOWNTREND

    CNBC calls this a "negative technical pattern." Let me translate: it’s like staying in a toxic relationship because CNBC told you it’s "due for a rebound." Spoiler alert: it’s not getting better. Lower Highs, Lower Lows, and your account balance starts looking like your last Tinder date—disappointing and heading downhill fast.

  •  BEAR MARKET

    A bear market means stocks have dropped 20% or more. CNBC commentators will softly call it "extended weakness" or "ongoing volatility."
    NO!

    It’s not volatility—it’s a mauling. The bear isn't here for your picnic; it's here to feast on your life savings and leave your retirement dreams shredded.

     
  •  MARKET CRASH

    WHERE LEGENDS ARE MADE (AND AMATEURS GET OBLITERATED)

    The moment CNBC loses its collective mind, anchors scrambling for euphemisms like "rapid de-risking event" or "unprecedented market recalibration," you know it’s time to buckle up.

    Translation? It’s Financial Armageddon.
    The algos and quants are running a muck at this point!

    A crash means lights out, game over.

    Picture this: you just jumped off a cliff… but for some reason, you decided to tie yourself to an anvil on the way down. Your portfolio? Vaporized. Your confidence? Shattered. Your favorite stock? Trading like a meme coin after a rug pull. ( or Trump just did a PUMP & DUMP!)

    Wall Street, of course, doesn’t care. They keep adding seats to the theater, but they sure as hell aren’t adding more fire exits. When panic strikes, everyone runs for the door at the same time—except the exit is the size of a drinking straw. You’re desperate to sell, but there’s no one buying.

    Welcome to the slaughterhouse.


    But here’s the kicker… this is actually where the real money is made!

    While the masses are selling their shares for scraps, the sharks are circling. This is Warren Buffett Mode—when the smart money is scooping up stocks at fire-sale prices while the herd is hyperventilating.

    When there’s blood in the streets, you don’t run. You buy.

    Crashes don’t destroy wealth—they transfer it.

    So the real question is: are you the one panic-selling, or the one getting rich off the fools who do?


Don’t be CNBC’s next victim.

Learn to see the market correctly with the proper chart indicators and time frames  and speak fluent "Wall Street" before it costs you another dollar.

Here are (5) five surprising statistics about BEAR MARKETS that might just make you rethink your next move:

  • 1 Bear Markets Happen More Often Than You Think


    Since 1928, the S&P 500 has experienced 26 bear markets—that’s about one every 3.5 years on average. So if you thought the market would only go up forever… think again.


  • 2 Bear Markets Are Shorter Than Bull Markets


    The average bear market lasts 289 days (about 9.5 months)—much shorter than the average bull market, which rages on for about 991 days (2.7 years).

    The good news?

    Pain doesn’t last forever. "Buy the dippers" always show up.
    When do you pass up toilet paper on sale at Costco?

  • 3 Some of the Biggest Rallies Happen in Bear Markets

    Six of the ten best single-day gains in stock market history happened during a bear market.

    Why?

    Short squeezes, FOMO bounces, and Fed intervention
    create massive fakeouts—before the market tanks again.

    Traders often make the most with the markets are most volatile.

  • 4 The Worst Decline Ever Was -86%


    The Great Depression bear market (1929-1932) saw the S&P 500 collapse by a mind-numbing 86% over three years.

    Translation? If you had $10,000 in stocks, you’d have walked away with $1,400.

    Brutal. Will it happen again.. maybe.... but not likely... learn to profit from declines!

  • 5 Half of the S&P 500’s Worst Days Happen AFTER a Bear Market Begins


    By the time the media starts screaming "BEAR MARKET!" you’re often already in it.

    Some of the biggest plunges come late in the game, trapping dip-buyers who thought they were getting a deal.

    You MUST LEARN to read a technical chart with the proper indicators to spot a market bottom and profit from the short cover rally.

     
Lesson?

Bear markets are savage, unpredictable, and love to lure in suckers before taking another bite.

Stay sharp.

Know where your at in the decline and trade accordingly with support and resistance areas as potential bounce points. Understanding stock market seasonality, and the macro economic climate all add your your trader intuition so See The Bears coming!

5 Blood-Red Warning Signs You’re Entering Bear Territory:

So, you’re minding your own business, riding that market rally like a champ, when suddenly—BOOM!—your portfolio starts bleeding, and the talking heads on CNBC go from

"strong buy!"

to

"we may be entering a period of prolonged uncertainty."


Translation?

The market is about to kick you in the teeth.


If you don’t spot the signs early, you’ll be the one panic-selling at the exact wrong time.

Here’s how to know when the bear is waking up—and when it’s time to play defense:

  • 1️⃣  Investors Start Crying in Their Lattes ☕💸


    You know it's bad when even the billionaire hedge fund guys—who normally brag about their yachts—start hoarding cash like your doomsday-prepper uncle. When the big money moves to "risk-off" mode, retail traders (that’s you) are the last to know.

    🚩 Warning Signs:

    • Billionaires suddenly start talking about “diversification” instead of their next moonshot stock.
    • Your favorite YouTube trader goes from “BUY EVERY DIP” to “Yeah, I’m mostly in cash now.”
    •  People on Twitter suddenly start tweeting about bonds—a sure sign they’re scared.


    EXAMPLE:
    "Steve Cohen says tariffs and DOGE’s cuts are negative for economy, market correction could be soon"

    What It Means:

    The pros are getting out while they can.
    Follow the whales, or get swallowed whole.


  • 2️⃣  Bond Yields Flip You Off 📉🖕


    The inverted yield curve is the finance world's version of a horror movie jump scare—it happens fast, and by the time you realize what’s going on, the damage is already done.

    🚩 What’s an Inverted Yield Curve?
    Normally, long-term bonds pay more than short-term ones (because duh, you’re locking up money for longer). But when the yield curve inverts, short-term bonds suddenly pay more—which means smart money sees a recession coming and doesn’t trust the long game.

    What It Means:

    The market is flashing a big, red “YOU’RE SCREWED” sign.
    Ignore it at your own risk.


  • 3️⃣ Economic Data Looks Like a Crime Scene 🚨📉


    If the economy were a patient in the ER, this is the part where doctors start frantically looking for a pulse. GDP is tanking, unemployment is creeping up, and corporate layoffs are happening so fast they can’t even hand out severance packages.

    🚩 The Red Flags:

    • GDP growth slows or goes negative (translation: businesses are making less money).
    • Unemployment spikes (translation: people are getting fired).
    • Consumer spending drops (translation: people are too broke to buy that extra Starbucks Frappuccino).

    What It Means:

    The market isn’t just “pulling back.”
    It’s losing blood fast.


  • 4️⃣ The VIX Is Screaming Bloody Murder 📈😱


    The VIX (aka the "fear index") is like that one friend who always knows the drama before it happens.

    If it starts skyrocketing, it means investors are panicking—and that’s when things get ugly.

    🚩 When to Panic:

    • The VIX spikes above 30+(historically, that means investors are bracing for chaos).
    • Every headline starts using words like “uncertainty”, “crisis”, or “meltdown.”
    • Jim Cramer goes from screaming "BUY! BUY! BUY!" to whispering about "flight to safety."


    What It Means:
    If the fear gauge is flashing red, it’s time to tighten your risk management before the market turns into a slaughterhouse.

  • 5️⃣ Corporate Earnings Are in the Gutter 📊💀


    If the economy is the patient, corporate earnings are the vital signs. When companies start missing earnings expectations left and right, it’s a clear signal that the economy is slowing down—and fast.

    🚩 Signs the Market Is Dying:

    • Big-name companies slash profit forecasts and suddenly announce layoffs.
    • CEOs use phrases like "challenging environment" (translation: we're losing money, but we don’t want to say it outright).
    • Tech stocks, which normally lead the market, start tanking like an over-leveraged hedge fund.


    What It Means:
    When even the biggest, most stable companies start fumbling, you know the market is in real trouble.

     

BEWARE of the BEAR TRAP!

Bullish Traps in Bear Markets: The Sucker’s Rally 🏃💸

Think you’ve spotted “the bottom”?

That juicy green candle got you feeling confident?

Congratulations—you just walked into one of Wall Street’s oldest traps.

Even in a bear market, stocks can suddenly rip higher, fooling traders into thinking the worst is over.

CNBC will slap on their best fake smiles and declare, “The market has found its footing!” Then—just when you think you’re in the clear—BOOM! The market turns, and your so-called “bounce trade” becomes a fresh new loss.

(5)Five Brutal Truths About Bear Market Rallies:

1️⃣ False Hope is Expensive
Bear market rallies can recoup 10%–20% of losses, making you think the nightmare is over. Spoiler alert: It’s not.

2️⃣ Short-Lived Joyrides
These rallies might last a few days, maybe even a few weeks, but they’re not sustainable. It’s like a sugar high—you’re gonna feel it when reality kicks in.

3️⃣ Volatility’s Playground
Some of the biggest single-day gains in history happened inside bear markets, not bull runs.  Why? Because panic selling = massive short squeezes that fake people out before tanking again.

4️⃣ The Emotional Wrecking Ball
These rallies mess with your head, swinging you from despair to euphoria and right back to despair. If you don’t have a strategy, the market will chew you up and spit you out.

5️⃣ Historical Heartbreaks
During the Great Depression, the Dow saw multiple 20%+ rallies, only to keep falling lower. In 2008, the market had several 10%+ bear rallies before completely imploding. Buying too soon is how you become a statistic.

Tired of Being Bear Food?
Time to Get Savage!

You can sit there and pray the market turns around—or you can learn how to hunt like the wolves do.

Stop being market roadkill and start thinking like a Wall Street savage?

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Spots are limited—lock in yours before the next crash hits!

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  • How to spot the early signs of a bear market before it eats your gains alive.
  • How to make cold, hard cash while everyone else is panic-selling.
  • How to build an unstoppable Financial Flywheel that keeps spinning even when Wall Street’s burning.

Join us or keep getting "Bear Clawed" by the market.

Your choice! When is your when?

Let’s turn those claws into cash.

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