Thanksgiving Week Trading

Welcome to the 
“THE THANKSGIVING LIFT-OFF”

+17.5% — Oscar Health (OSCR)
ACA subsidy extension = instant adrenaline shot.

+8% — Centene (CNC)
Healthcare rotation heating up.

+5% — Molina Healthcare (MOH)
Riding the subsidy wave.

+4% — Alibaba (BABA)
Qwen app hits 10M downloads in a week.

+4% — Baidu (BIDU)
JPM upgrade + AI transformation = gas pedal.

+3.5% — Alphabet (GOOGL)
Gemini 3 giving NVDA PTSD.

+3.3% — Carvana (CVNA)
Upgrade says drop was “overdone.” Traders agree.

+3% — MP Materials (MP)
Rare earths = rotation bait.

+2% — Merck (MRK)
Wells Fargo upgrade unlocks “catalyst-rich” runway.

+2% — Tesla (TSLA)
A15 chip nearly done; A16 on deck. Musk flexing again.

–10% — Novo Nordisk (NVO)
Alzheimer’s trial misses main target. Ouch.

–10% — GRND Grinder App
Not going private → stock “not going higher.”

STRENGTHS

• Seasonal tailwind: Historic Thanksgiving week melt-up.

• VIX at 21: Calm enough to let trends breathe.

• Friday’s Russell 2000 blast suggests rotation into small caps.

• Fed cut odds climbing again — liquidity loves holidays.
  
  

WEAKNESSES

• AI sentiment still wobbly post-NVDA stumble.

• Market barely hanging above the 100MA on the daily chart — fragile bounce.

• Low holiday volume = candles can get drunk.

• Yen intervention threat could shock FX → spill into equities.
  
  

OPPORTUNITIES

• GOOGL vs NVDA AI breakout race — catalyst-rich setup.

• Healthcare rotation is loud (OSCR/CNC/MOH).

• Rare earths (MP) and China tech (BABA/BIDU) gaining strength.

• Black Friday + Cyber Monday retail catalysts.
  
  

THREATS

• Fed messaging: Williams says “cut,” Collins says “maybe don’t.”

• FX intervention could smash risk appetite.

• Holiday thin liquidity = stop hunts + algo traps.

• Friday half-day = textbook whipsaw conditions.
  
  

TACTICAL INSIGHT of the DAY: 
“The Thanksgiving Drift: Strike Early or Sit Still”

Thanksgiving Week has a very real, very tradable personality…
and Monday is the only day where the market still remembers how to behave like a grown-up.

By Tuesday?

Volume fades.

By Wednesday?

Algos nap.

By Friday?

Retail shows up like it’s a Black Friday sale on penny stocks.

But Monday?
Monday is your window.

If you’re trading Thanksgiving Week, you trade MONDAY with intention or you don’t trade at all.

Historically, the Monday of Thanksgiving Week often:

• Rebounds off the prior week’s volatility

• Overcorrects in the first 30–60 minutes

• Offers clean reversion-to-mean setups

• Shows the REAL rotation before volume dries up

Your move:

Fade the morning extremes.
Not the middle of the week — Monday specifically.

Because the emotion from the previous week’s headlines, earnings reactions, and macro drama spills into the open…
and then the market spends the rest of the day unwinding that emotion.

It’s predictable.
It’s repeatable.
It’s exploitable

How to Trade It 
(T.U.R.N. + Seasonality Edition)

T – Tune In

Check the VIX, breadth, gaps, and overnight futures move.
If the market gaps emotionally (up or down), your setup is brewing.

U – Understand Rotation

Thanksgiving Week loves safety rotations:
XLK → XLP
XLY → XLV
High beta → low volatility
Spot the early morning tells.

R – Retracement Zone Setup

Let the morning fakeout happen.
Then stalk your reversal zone:

• VWAP reclaim

• 38.2% / 50% fib retrace

• Stoch RSI curling off 20

• Volume confirming the flip
  
  

N – Nail the Power Zone

The money is made when momentum flips back toward equilibrium.
Your setup is the reversion, not the chase.

Why This Works (Data Backed)

Over the last 25 years:

• Thanksgiving Monday is green 72% of the time

• And when the prior week was volatile, Monday’s morning move reverses 63% of the time

• Monday carries more volume and cleaner intraday structure than Tue–Fri combined

Translation:
Monday is the only day that still respects your technicals.

TFT TAKEAWAY — “Trade Monday With Precision. Ignore the Holiday Noise.”

You’re not trying to be a hero this week.

You’re trying to be a sniper.

Thanksgiving Week rewards:

• traders who wait

• traders who fade extremes

• traders who understand seasonality

• traders who don’t get sucked into low-volume sludge

Strike Monday.

Coast the rest of the week.

Protect your Flywheel.

Because you’re not trading for activity… you’re trading for freedom.

On November 24, 2011, the U.S. markets were closed for Thanksgiving…
but Europe was wide open — and absolute chaos was unfolding overseas.

While Americans were carving turkey, Europe was carving up markets.

Italy’s bond yields were exploding.
Spain’s funding costs were skyrocketing.
The eurozone debt crisis was hitting a fresh panic peak.

And even with U.S. markets closed, futures began melting down:

• S&P futures dropped sharply

• VIX futures spiked

• European markets slid into the red

• Headlines screamed “contagion risk rising”

• Analysts declared the bull run dead
  
  

Traders went to sleep worried the U.S. market would crater the next morning.

But here’s the twist:

On Black Friday (Nov 25), the U.S. market opened… and reversed hard.

The panic failed.
The fear fizzled.
Buyers stepped in.
Indexes closed green.

What looked like a global meltdown turned into a classic holiday reversion rally — the same seasonal behavior Time Freedom Traders stalk today.

When the U.S. is closed and global markets freak out, emotional moves often overshoot.

Holiday futures amplify that emotion.

Thin liquidity exaggerates fear.

But once Wall Street opens, price usually rebalances — violently and quickly.

This is why Thanksgiving Week offers hidden edges:

• Low liquidity amplifies mistakes

• Headlines inflate fear

• Futures misprice risk

• Smart money uses the air pocket to reposition
  
  

The biggest returns happen where emotional traders misprice reality.

Over the last 30 years, Black Friday has closed green 76% of the time —
even when global markets were red the day before.

Meaning:
Fear sells fast. Discipline buys better.

Nvidia didn’t just deliver one of the fastest 10x runs of the 2010s…
It delivered one of the fastest 10x runs in modern market history —
after being left for dead.

1. Nvidia suffered a brutal ~75% drawdown in 2008–2009.

The company got obliterated in the Financial Crisis.
Demand crumbled. Margins shrank.
Analysts slapped the “commodity chip stock” label on it and moved on.

Wall Street said:
“This thing’s cooked.”

Wall Street was wrong.

2. From 2015 to 2017, NVDA went parabolic — a true 10x sprint.

Fueled by:

• the gaming explosion

• CUDA dominance

• early AI compute adoption

• data center demand

• the GPU-as-infrastructure shift

Nvidia ran from roughly $20 → over $200 in under 24 months.

That’s not a rally.
That’s a wealth event.
A generational compounding window disguised as a tech stock.

3. Amazon & Apple had monster runs — but NOT 10x off a 75% crash.

Amazon

• Had massive compounding, yes.

• But not a full 10x sprint immediately following a catastrophic drawdown.

Apple

• Became the greatest wealth machine of the century.

• But its growth was steady, not a post-crash vertical liftoff.

Only Nvidia combined:

• catastrophic drawdown

• technological inflection point

• multi-year mega-cycle tailwinds

• and a parabolic adoption wave into a supercharged 10x explosion.

The Real Lesson

The market’s biggest winners often rise from the ashes.

Everyone loves NVDA now.
But almost no one wanted it when it was down 75% and trading like a discounted semiconductor orphan.

This is the Time Freedom Trading insight most traders miss:

“The deepest pain often precedes the greatest upside.”

That’s why we study rotation.

That’s why we study catalysts.

That’s why we study reversion.

That’s why we TRADE THE TURN.

Because smart money shows up when fear fogs everyone else’s vision.

Thanksgiving Week isn’t just turkey, travel, and trying not to check your portfolio between dinner rolls.

For a Time Freedom Trader, this week is about resetting your inner operating system:

• Gratitude sharpens clarity.

• Clarity improves discipline.

• Discipline compounds returns.

This week, most traders coast.

They relax. They drift. They get sloppy.

They stop treating the market like a mission.

Not you.

This is your chance to strengthen the mental special ops part of your game — the part that thrives in calm while others get lazy.

Because when you begin from gratitude, you don’t trade from fear or scarcity.
You trade from awareness, alignment, and abundance.

This isn’t about ignoring challenges — it’s about anchoring your mind.
A thankful heart is a stable heart, and a stable heart makes sound decisions in volatile markets.

Gratitude keeps you grounded when charts get choppy.
It reminds you that you’re operating from purpose, not panic.
It aligns your identity as a builder, creator, and steward — not a gambler

“Gratitude is a multiplier.”

When you begin the week with gratitude:

• You see clearer.

• You act cleaner.

• You trade calmer.

• You lead yourself better.

And that’s how you enter Thanksgiving Week with power — not passivity.

Take a breath.

Take inventory.

Take the week seriously.

The market rewards the trader who starts from thanks… and executes with purpose.

If yesterday’s market drop rattled you… good.

But here’s the real question:

How many years is your money actually built to survive?
If you don’t know your Money Mortality Index, you’re trading blind.

👉 Tap into the Wealth Operating System and run the MMI tool now.

See exactly how long your money lives… and how to make it compound longer.

One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity.

You’re just one trade away.

SEE the Market Like a Time Freedom Trader!

Most people stare at charts the way rookies stare at MRI scans —
lots of squiggles… zero understanding… and a whole lot of “uhhh, is this bad?”

Time Freedom Traders don’t look at the market.
We see it — in 3D, in real time, with clarity sharp enough to slice through Wall Street noise.

We see:

• Rotation before it rotates

• Catalysts before they explode

• Turns before they trend

• Opportunities while everyone else is still doomscrolling

This is the difference between traders and operators.
One guesses.
One reads the market like a playbook.

And it starts with using the right tools.

If you want to see what we see, the way we see it —
you need charts that don’t lie, lag, or limit your edge.

That means TradingView.

- Clean charts.
- Real-time data.
- Precision tools.
- Time Freedom Trading Custom Indicators - to "See" the MOVES correctly!
 
Everything you need to trade the turn, not chase the move.

👉 Sign up for TradingView today and start seeing the market like a Time Freedom Trader.

Your clarity starts the moment your charts go HD.

Because remember —

You’re just one trade away.

• Think like a Trader and Investor
• Build your own "consistency code"
• Grow into Profits with Providence. 

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