Thanksgiving Week Trading: 
Where the Turkey Bounces… 
But Do We Retake the 50MA?

Welcome to TACTICAL TUESDAY!
— where we sharpen our charts, sip our caffeine, and ask the market, "Hey big boy… you gonna reclaim that 50MA or just tease us like last year?"

Market mood this morning?

“Slightly hungover, cautiously optimistic, and pretending yesterday didn’t get out of hand.”

Yesterday’s 2% breadth-bomb was the best up-day since May…

But… it still didn’t reclaim the 50MA.

So we’re opening soft, like leftover rolls that didn’t get reheated.

• Thanksgiving Week lit the fuse — 2% pop yesterday, powered by breadth AND depth.

• We’re flirting with the 50MA like a high school crush.

• Google hunting $4T into Thanksgiving — yes… FOUR TRILLION.

• Meta → Google TPU shift triggered a mini NVDA hangover (-4%).

• Broadcom soaring on that same Google partnership (11% yesterday, +2% premkt).

• Retail earnings buffet:

  • Kohl’s: +23% (who knew?)

  • Abercrombie: +18%

  • Best Buy: +2.5%

  • Dick’s: -3% (and -9% later)

• Amazon: spending $50 BILLION on AI cloud infrastructure for U.S. Gov.

• ADP: layoffs trending up = labor market cooling.

• Treasury Sec Bessent: New Fed Chair decision by holiday season.

• AI trade rotated HARD into Alphabet & Broadcom.

• Alibaba booms on cloud demand (34% jump in cloud).

Thanksgiving Week = rotation city.
The theme?
“Pass the chips, not the gravy.”

+23% — Kohl’s (KSS)
+15% — Symbotic (SYM)
+14% — Keysight Technologies (KEYS)
+13% — Pony AI (PONY)
+11% — Amentum Holdings
+11% — Fluence Energy (FLNC)
+6% — Zeta Global (ZETA)
+5% — Zoom (ZM)
+4% — Alphabet (GOOGL)
+4% — Brinker (EAT)
+2% — Applied Materials (AMAT)
+2% — Alibaba (BABA)

-2% — Agilent (A1GI3)
-3% — Estee Lauder (EL)
-5% — Burlington (BURL)
-9% — Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS)
-3% to -4% — Nvidia (NVDA)

STRENGTHS 
— “Breadth, Beasts, and a Bullish Bounce”

• Yesterday delivered the strongest up-day since May, driven by broad participation across mega-cap tech, retail, semis, and cyclicals.
  👉 This isn’t a narrow bear-market rally — this is institutional positioning into the holiday drift.

• AI rotation back to life, but with a twist:

  • Alphabet + Broadcom leading

  • NVDA cooling

  • AMAT seeing upgrades

  • Cloud, chips, and robotics all posted strong breadth
    👉 This is healthy sector rotation, not a breakdown.

• Retail earnings stronger-than-expected, surprising Wall Street:

  • Kohl’s, Abercrombie, Best Buy all showing consumer strength
    👉 This shores up Q4 holiday-spending narrative.

• Dollar under 100 and yields falling near 4% provide a supportive macro backdrop for equities.

• VIX at 20 → elevated but trending lower = enough fear to fuel upside without euphoria.

Time Freedom Read:
The tide is lifting, money is rotating with intention, and institutions are pressing their bets before liquidity evaporates for the holiday.

WEAKNESSES 
— “NVDA Stumbles, 50MA Resistance, and Labor Cracks”

• Daily chart still below the 50MA — and yesterday’s rip didn’t reclaim it.
  👉 Momentum is present but not confirmed.

• NVDA is sliding on Meta’s shift toward Google TPUs, denting the AI leader’s aura of invincibility.
  👉 NVDA weakness tends to drag semis and QQQ sentiment.

• AMZN’s $50B AI spend is bullish… but also signals rising capex arms race, compressing margins in the short term.

• ADP showing rising layoffs — labor market cooling faster than expected.
  👉 Softening labor can become a forward warning shot for the consumer.

• Negative premarket reaction to select retailers (DKS) → still pockets of weakness in discretionary.

• Holiday week liquidity → thin markets amplify both directions.
  

Time Freedom Read:
The market wants up — but the structure is still fragile underneath, and one bad headline could knock us off the 50MA again.

OPPORTUNITIES
 — “Rotation Goldmine + Thanksgiving Drift”

• Thanksgiving Week is historically one of the strongest trading periods of the year with a high probability of upward drift.

• Huge rotation opportunity:

  • NVDA weakness → GOOGL + AVGO strength

  • Retail leaders outperforming → A&F, KSS, BBY

  • China tech rebound → BABA gaining steam

  • Robotics + AI ops → SYM, PONY, ZETA
    👉 Time Freedom Traders thrive when money rotates, not when it trends.

• Semiconductor capex surge highlighted by AMAT upgrades — an early signal for 2026 tech spending cycles.

• Amazon’s $50B cloud infrastructure investment = multi-year runway for AI hardware and software ecosystems.

• Falling yields + weaker dollar = tailwind for tech and large-cap growth.

• Retail consumer read-through could fuel holiday momentum trades through Black Friday + Cyber Monday.

Time Freedom Read:
This is a tactical trader’s playground — multiple catalysts, rotation flows, and seasonality lining up for asymmetrical setups.

THREATS 
— “Thin Liquidity, Fed Uncertainty, and AI Fragmentation”

• We are STILL under the 50MA — if today fails, yesterday becomes a “one-and-done” rally trap.

• Meta’s shift toward Google chips signals the AI landscape is fracturing.
  👉 Sector leadership uncertainty = volatility.

• Treasury Secretary hinting at a Fed Chair change by the holidays introduces policy risk.

• Holiday liquidity → fewer buyers, faster reversals, more algo games.

• Retail euphoria can fade quickly if Black Friday spending disappoints.

• Geopolitical headlines (Middle East, Asia) still simmering beneath the surface.

• NVDA dragging semis can weigh on the entire NASDAQ if contagion sentiment spreads.
  
  

Time Freedom Read:
We’re positioned for upside — but thin ice is still ice.
Don’t force trades. Let setups come to you. Defend the Flywheel before you attack.

Today’s SWOT says one thing clearly:

The path of least resistance is up… IF the market can reclaim the 50MA.
That’s the battlefield.
That’s the line in the sand.
And that’s where tactical traders make their week.

Because average traders chase.

Time Freedom Traders rotate.

Today is the “positioning day” before tomorrow’s airport chaos and Thursday’s holiday closure.

This is a rotation trader’s playground:

• Identify where the money shifted yesterday

• Confirm which sectors sustain today

• Use the T.U.R.N. Framework:

  • Tune into the catalyst (AI reshuffle)

  • Understand rotation (NVDA → GOOGL/AVGO)

  • Retracement entry (look for pullbacks into support)

  • Nail the power zone (stoch RSI reclaim)

Thanksgiving Tuesday is historically:
 “Trend + Rotation + Low Volatility = Easy Bread-and-Butter Trades”

Don’t overcomplicate it.

Trade the wave the big money is surfing today.

While Americans were stuffing turkeys, global markets were choking on a different kind of bird:

Dubai World requested a standstill on $26 BILLION of debt.

The announcement hit on November 25, sending a shockwave through every major index:

• S&P futures tanked overnight

• European markets went red instantly

• Safe havens like gold and U.S. bonds surged

• Banks with Middle East exposure got clipped hard

• Volatility spiked as if someone kicked the VIX hornet’s nest

The fear?
A sovereign default contagion — the 2008 trauma was still fresh, and this headline felt like déjà vu with extra paprika.

But here’s the twist…

THE MARKET SNAPPED BACK FAST.

Just days later, global markets stabilized and resumed the post-crisis rebound.

What looked like the start of “Lehman 2.0” turned out to be just a panic blip in the early stages of a monster bull run.

This day reminds traders of a timeless principle:

Headline shocks fade. Structural trends dominate.

• The scary thing rarely becomes the real thing.

• First reactions are emotional.

• Second reactions are rational.

• The real money is made by the trader who watches, waits, and trades the turn, not the terror.

Today’s market noise?

AI chips, rate speculation, layoffs, geopolitical headlines…

History says: zoom out → find the tide → ride the wave.

Because average traders panic.

Time Freedom Traders rotate.

Here’s why:

For 21 of the last 25 Thanksgiving Weeks, Walmart has delivered a positive return, making it one of the most reliable green trades of the entire holiday season.

Why does it dominate?

• Holiday shopping flow: Walmart captures early holiday foot traffic before the Black Friday frenzy officially starts.

• Defensive + consumer staple strength: When markets wobble, Walmart gets love as a safe haven.

• Massive retail footprint: Their data and inventory cycles hit right as traders price in Q4 consumer strength.

• Thanksgiving Week consistency: Big-cap retailers tend to drift upward on low liquidity, and Walmart is king of the drift.
  
  

Costco does well.
Amazon is volatile.

But Walmart?

Walmart is the turkey rally cheat code.

TFT Takeaway:
Seasonality is a weapon — and Walmart has been one of Thanksgiving Week’s most dependable swing trades for two decades.

Because average traders guess.

Time Freedom Traders operate.

Thanksgiving isn’t just a holiday — it’s a masterclass in abundance psychology.

Look at the table:
No one brings one dish.
Everyone brings too much.
There’s always more than enough — leftovers for days, desserts nobody touches, and rolls nobody admits to eating.

Abundance is the default setting of creation. Scarcity is the invention of fear.

In trading, in wealth, in life…
Most people operate like they’re at a famine buffet:
Grabbing crumbs, rushing decisions, panicking at headlines, afraid the opportunity will vanish if they don’t “act now.”

But abundance says:
The market will open again tomorrow.
New setups will come again next week.
Your breakthrough is not a one-time chance — it’s a rhythm, not a lottery ticket.

Thanksgiving reminds you:
You are surrounded by cycles of provision…
If you slow down long enough to see them.

David wasn’t describing a cup filled just enough.
He was describing a cup that spills past its edges — symbolic of God’s provision exceeding human fear.

Why does this matter for Time Freedom Trading?

Because trading requires:

• A calm cup

• An uncluttered mind

• A belief that opportunities are infinite

• And a heart rooted in provision, not panic

When you know your cup overflows, you stop chasing bad trades.
You stop forcing opportunities.
You start operating from clarity, not scarcity.

You stop reacting.
You start compounding.

Ask yourself today:

• Where am I trading from fear instead of flow?

• Where am I tightening my grip when God is trying to open my hand?

• Where am I behaving like opportunity is limited — when the market resets every day?
  
  

Abundance is not an emotion.

It’s a worldview.

It’s the lens of a Time Freedom Trader.

Once you see it —

You can’t unsee it.

SEE the Market Like a Time Freedom Trader!

Most people stare at charts the way rookies stare at MRI scans —
lots of squiggles… zero understanding… and a whole lot of “uhhh, is this bad?”

Time Freedom Traders don’t look at the market.
We see it — in 3D, in real time, with clarity sharp enough to slice through Wall Street noise.

We see:

• Rotation before it rotates

• Catalysts before they explode

• Turns before they trend

• Opportunities while everyone else is still doomscrolling

This is the difference between traders and operators.
One guesses.
One reads the market like a playbook.

And it starts with using the right tools.

If you want to see what we see, the way we see it —
you need charts that don’t lie, lag, or limit your edge.

That means TradingView.

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👉 Sign up for TradingView today and start seeing the market like a Time Freedom Trader.

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Because remember —

You’re just one trade away.

• Think like a Trader and Investor
• Build your own "consistency code"
• Grow into Profits with Providence. 

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