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The W.T.F. Report
January 14th, 2026


Wednesday
JANUARY 14, 2026
“The Market Ordered
‘Soft CPI’… and PPI
showed up screaming.”
Welcome to Wednesday—where the data is hot, the tape is moody, and your job is to trade the turn… not the tantrum.
Market Catalysts Driving The Mood
1) Bank Earnings: Day 2
“Green Numbers, Red Faces”
-
JPMorgan: posted strong results on trading strength… and still got punished, with the credit card rate-cap drama turning into a headline landmine.
-
Today: Citi and Wells Fargo report (and the market will grade them like a judge on a cooking show).
-
Tomorrow: Goldman and Morgan Stanley step into the arena.
2) Econ Data: PPI + Retail Spending = HOT
CPI teased “relief,” but today’s inflation pipeline and spending pulse are the real vibe check. When producer prices and consumers run hot, yields get sticky… and “rate cuts” start sounding like a bedtime story for grown adults.
3) Trump + Iran = Oil Woke Up
Trump said he canceled meetings with Iranian officials and encouraged protests to continue—markets heard “Middle East risk” and oil heard “gym motivation.”
4) Meta Reality Labs Cuts: VR Got Vaped
Meta is cutting roughly 10% of Reality Labs—more proof that the metaverse is taking a back seat while AI drives the Lambo.
5) Silver Goes Full Supernova
Spot silver punched through $90+ for the first time and kept running. This move is part “rate-cut expectations,” part “geopolitical hedge,” part “inventory squeeze,” and part “the market loves a mania.”
Market Snapshot
DOW: -0.33%
S&P: -0.41%
NASDAQ: -0.58%
RUSSELL: +0.29% (small caps said “I’m built different”)
VIX: 17.22 (volatility is waking up and choosing violence)
BTC: $95,250
GOLD: $4,638/oz (gold is doing gold things)
SILVER: $91.61/oz (silver is in full beast mode)
OIL (WTI): $61.70
OIL (BRENT): $65.72
10Y: 4.165%
DOLLAR: 99.07
““Earnings are an opinion;
cash flow is a fact.”
| Alfred Rappaport



What Matters This Week
(Your Catalyst Calendar)
Wednesday: PPI + Citi + Wells Fargo + Bank of America (before the bell). SOCTUS Decision on Tarrifs? 10AM FADE on Watch!
Thursday: Morgan Stanley + Goldman Sachs (before the bell)
Wildcard: SCOTUS tariff ruling chatter (headline grenades = volatility gifts)
HEADLINES: JP MORGAN HEALTH CARE CONFERENCE announcements. Health care and Biotech stocks on watch.
If your portfolio can’t survive CPI + bank guidance week… is it a portfolio… or a vibe?
“The reason you have a job....
is because your money is unemployed!
LETS FIX THAT!
MARKET HEAT MAP - LIVE
STOCKS IN THE GREEN (+)
Citigroup (C) — +1%+ after earnings beat vibe.
Netflix (NFLX) — +~2% on report it’s prepping an all-cash $72B bid for Warner Bros. Discovery studios + HBO Max.
STOCKS IN THE RED (–)
Bank of America (BAC) — down ~1%+ even with results that beat expectations (because markets love being toxic).
Wells Fargo (WFC) — down ~2% on weaker-than-expected revenue.
Palo Alto (PANW), Check Point (CHKP) — down ~2% on China cybersecurity restrictions
Fortinet (FTNT) — down ~3% on the same theme
Trip.com (TCOM) — down ~15% (China said “come see me after class.”)

Strengths
The market still has a backbone: inflation is cooling at the consumer level just enough to keep hope alive, while earnings season brings real liquidity, real catalysts, and real opportunity. When big banks report, volume shows up—meaning the tape becomes tradable, not just “random.” Also note the Russell holding green while the majors dip—rotation is whispering, “Look beyond megacaps.”
Weaknesses
This tape is hypersensitive to anything that smells like “sticky inflation.” CPI was the appetizer—PPI and retail heat are the main course, and the market hates the idea that cuts could get delayed. Financials are also getting dragged by political headline risk around lending/credit pricing, which turns banks into punching bags even when they execute.
Opportunities
This is prime “Trade the Turn to Earn” territory: earnings gaps, sector rotation, and volatility expansion. Precious metals ripping while equities sag is a signal: risk-off hedging is back in style—and that creates asymmetric trades in miners, energy, and rate-sensitive sectors. Also: deal rumors (Netflix/WBD) and analyst call clusters can create clean momentum windows—just don’t marry the move.
Threats
Geopolitics is re-entering the chat. Iran tension is oil’s favorite caffeine, and energy spikes can feed back into inflation expectations fast. Add policy noise around credit card rate caps, plus China tightening on U.S./Israel-linked cybersecurity tools, and you’ve got a headline minefield that can whipsaw tech and financials in the same session.
TRUMP TACTICS — ACTIVE
(2nd Term Playbook So Far)
-
Tariff leverage as a policy weapon (trade pressure and legal/structural pushes around tariffs).
-
Consumer credit pressure campaign: pushing the idea of a temporary credit card rate cap (10%)—forcing banks to publicly defend margins.
-
Iran pressure escalation: canceling meetings, publicly backing protesters, and signaling consequences—raising geopolitical risk premium.
-
Energy geopolitics influence: actions/statements that ripple directly into crude pricing and inflation expectations.
-
Housing/credit market manipulation themes: aggressive narratives around mortgages and policy direction that can shake rate expectations and financials (especially during earnings season).
“Smart traders
don’t fear volatility
—they invoice it."

New Year Strategy:
Trade Rotation + Catalysts, Not Resolutions
Your January edge isn’t “new year, new me.” It’s new flows, new positioning, new catalysts.
Here’s the TFT move:
-
T.U.R.N. it: Tune in to rates/volatility → Understand rotation → Retracement setup → Nail the power zone.
-
Earnings season = scheduled volatility. Don’t fear it—farm it.
-
PPI days are yield days. If yields spike, growth gets slapped. If yields cool, growth gets oxygen. Either way: the move is prepared, not predicted.

Historically, small stocks outperform large stocks by about 2.1% in January on average (1926–2017)—that’s the January Effect in a single punch.
And options markets often price the average S&P 500 stock to move ~4.5% after earnings—meaning the “real action” is frequently concentrated in these announcement windows.
The stock market is the only mainstream place where your money can compound without your hours being required.
Example:
-
$1,000 compounding at 10% for >40 trades can expand to >$100k
No overtime. No meetings. No “circle back.”
Just math… and mastery. Could $100k in as a trading account earn your freedom?
If you don’t build a repeatable compounding skill now… what’s your plan when inflation, AI, and policy chaos keep re-pricing your lifestyle anyway?
— Jesse Livermore

On this day (January 14, 2000): the Dow closed at 11,722.98, a record high during the dot-com era peak.
Why it matters today:
Markets can look “unstoppable” right before they get humbled. The lesson isn’t fear—it’s framework. Tops and bottoms aren’t announced. They’re telegraphed through sentiment, leverage, and volatility regimes.
Surprising Earnings-Season Stat:
Silver is already up roughly 27% in the early part of this year’s trading while equities are choppy—proof that rotation can flip fast when macro expectations shift.
TFT takeaway:
When narratives change, money moves first. Your job is to follow the rotation… not the opinions.

Stewardship over impulse.
“Wealth gained hastily will dwindle,
but whoever gathers little by little
will increase it.”
— Proverbs 13:11.”
Why it matters (TFT translation):
Fast money fantasies produce fast losses. The free life is built by stacking small, repeatable edges—then defending the flywheel.
Imagine it’s March and you’ve now watched two full earnings cycles with a playbook—clean entries, defined risk, and the calm confidence of someone who’s no longer guessing. That’s the lane.
If you want the weekly blueprint that turns this chaos into a compounding plan, plug into TFT Tactics Monthly—and start operating like a Time Freedom Trader, not a headline hostage.

“FAST FORWARD to DECEMBER of 2026"
If you want 2026 to be the year you stop reacting and start operating… join Time Freedom Trading.
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Trade the retracement instead of chasing breakouts late
-
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Because the clock’s not ticking — it’s compounding.
And the market doesn’t pay hope… it pays execution.
Fast-forward 12 months.
It’s December 2026.
The Fed is doing whatever the Fed does.
AI is on its 7th hype cycle.
But here’s the only question that matters:
Are you still hoping rate cuts save your portfolio…
or are you calmly executing a proven trading operating system that funds your lifestyle, your legacy, and your time freedom?
You just read a full breakdown of:
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How the macro winds are shifting.
-
Where rotation and reversal trades are setting up.
-
How to weaponize something as simple as an engulfing candle for asymmetric entries.
The next move isn’t more information.
It’s installation.
So ask yourself — honestly:
If you keep living the way you lived in 2025,
will you be any closer to time freedom by next December?
If the answer stings, good. That’s your signal.
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🎁 Step into the new year: take your time back.
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If you’re paying for trading education but not structuring it properly…
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Once to learn.
Again at tax time.
Most traders guess.
The IRS doesn’t reward guessing — it rewards structure.
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If you’re already investing in your edge…
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This is the difference between traders and operators.
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| The "Bald Bull

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