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Jan 26 / The BALD BULL

January 26th, 2026

The WTF Premarket Report isn’t your average Wall Street snooze-fest. It’s your daily tactical briefing—your morning intel—delivered with clarity, edge, and just enough snark to keep you caffeinated before the opening bell. Every edition breaks down the moves that matter: futures flow, Fed fireworks, political curveballs, sector rotations, and premarket movers that can make or break your day. Expect a SWOT analysis to sharpen your edge, a mindset reset to keep you disciplined, and a Bible truth that ties it all back to purpose. This isn’t noise—it’s navigation. Because in this game, you don’t need more headlines, you need clarity, conviction, and the courage to pull the trigger.

Monday
JANUARY 26th, 2026

“The Snowplow Market.”

Progress doesn’t come fast. It comes loud, messy, and sideways—until suddenly the road is clear and everyone wonders how they missed the turn.

The Winter Dig-Out & Snap-Back Week 

Welcome to Monday. 

The market is shoveling ice off the driveway while earnings trucks are backing up to the curb. Two straight weekly losses for the S&P, a dollar at a four-month low, commodities screaming higher, and a Fed that’s brought a lawn chair to a knife fight. 

This is the week where frozen pipes burst… and so do expectations. 

New week. New money. Last lap of January. 

If you’re waiting for “clarity,” congrats—you’ve officially volunteered to buy the top.

“Markets are never wrong—opinions often are.” 

— Jesse Livermore

THE WEEK AHEAD 

  • Winter Storm Fern: Airlines grounded, energy & utilities front-and-center.

  • SCOTUS ruling: Policy risk = volatility fuel.

  • Iran: Geopolitical tail risk stays bid.

  • Yen / BOJ: More stimulus, weaker dollar, global ripples.

  • Fed Meeting: Wait-and-see (translation: trade the reaction, not the hope).

  • Tech Earnings: Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Tesla, Apple, IBM

  • Government Shutdown: Six days out. Political theater meets market math. MN ICE events may keep Democrats from voting. 

  • Last Week of the Month: Rebalances, window dressing, sharp moves.


  • PRE-MARKET STATS 

    Green… but with a limp
    • DOW = +0.17%
      Old money buying the dip like it’s on clearance. Defensive optimism. No champagne yet.

    • S&P = +0.13%
      Broad market trying to stand up after back-to-back losses. Still testing its balance.

    • NASDAQ = 0.00%
      Flat as a frozen driveway. Tech is waiting on earnings before making a move.

    • RUSSELL = -0.09%
      Small caps still stuck in the snowbank. Liquidity hasn’t come to rescue yet.

    • VIX = 16.49
      Volatility creeping higher. Not panic—anticipation. Earnings + Fed = tension coil.

    • BITCOIN = 87,910
      Cooling off but holding altitude. Risk appetite hasn’t left the building.

    • GOLD = $5,056/oz
      Gold still rallying. This isn’t fear—it’s a vote against fiat and central banks.

    • SILVER = $10,980/oz
      Parabolic behavior. When silver moves like this, inflation whispers turn into shouts.

    • COPPER = $1,316.50
      Dr. Copper still diagnosing global demand. Industrial pulse remains alive.

    • PLATINUM = $2,813.96
      Quietly ripping. Supply constraints meeting energy-transition reality.

    • WTI CRUDE = $60.83
      Energy bid from winter demand and geopolitical friction. Inflation tail still wagging.

    • BRENT CRUDE = $64.88
      Global growth expectations stabilizing—no collapse priced in.

    • 10-YR = 4.21%
      Rates refusing to come down. The bond market isn’t buying the “easy Fed” story.

    • DOLLAR = 97.145
      Four-month low. Weak dollar = rocket fuel for commodities and multinational earnings.

    Bottom line:
    Equities are tiptoeing. Commodities are sprinting. Bonds are stubborn.
    This isn’t a risk-off market—it’s a rotation market.
    Trade the flow. Not the headlines.


    Whats moving the Tape this morning

    • 3,500 flights canceled this morning. 12,000 yesterday. 1 inch of ice. 1 million without power.
      This isn’t weather — it’s a stress test. Airlines are learning (again) that margins don’t survive ice storms. Utilities and energy get paid. Airlines get excuses.

    • Largest flight cancellations since COVID
      Same movie, different villain. Back then it was a virus. Today it’s Mother Nature with leverage. Markets don’t care why planes aren’t flying — they care that revenue isn’t.

    • CoreWeave +10% after a $2B check from Nvidia
      This isn’t “investment.” This is Nvidia planting flags. If you’re building AI factories, Jensen wants a toll booth on every on-ramp. Infrastructure is where the real power sits.

    • USA Rare Earth +20% on Commerce Dept equity stake
      When the government buys shares, that’s not stimulus — that’s strategy. This is the U.S. saying, “We’re done renting minerals from China.” National security > free markets.

    • Megacap Earnings Week: Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Tesla, Apple
      This is the Super Bowl of balance sheets. Guidance will matter more than beats. One bad tone-deaf sentence and trillions reprice.

    • Apple losing top-customer crown at TSMC to Nvidia
      That’s not symbolic — that’s structural. The tech totem pole just got reordered. Hardware elegance bows to compute hunger.

    • Winter storm = 20+ states in emergency mode
      Translation: volatility loves chaos. Short-term dislocations create long-term rotation. Energy, utilities, nat gas don’t need sunshine to rally.

    • Natural gas and power prices spike (especially near data centers)
      AI runs on electricity, not optimism. When Virginia sneezes, global power markets catch a cold. Data centers are the new factories.

    • Memory chip shortage expected through 2027 (per Synopsys CEO)
      This is the quiet constraint no one’s pricing correctly. AI demand is sprinting while supply is limping. Scarcity always wins


    STOCKS IN THE GREEN (+)

  • USA Rare Earth (+21%)
    This isn’t a squeeze — it’s a strategic bid. Government equity stakes scream supply-chain sovereignty. Dumb money chases charts. Smart money chases national security.

  • CoreWeave (+10%)
    When Nvidia writes a $2B check, it’s not a vote — it’s a command. AI infrastructure is becoming the new oil pipeline.

  • SkyWater Technology (+7.3%)
    Foundry leverage meets AI demand. This move is about capacity control, not headlines.

  • Newmont (+4%)
    Gold north of $5K turns miners into cash-flow machines. This is margin expansion math, not speculation.

  • Allied Gold (+3%)
    M&A premium in a gold bull tape. Acquirers don’t buy tops — they buy cash flow visibility.

  • IonQ (+2.7%)
    Quantum consolidation = early land grab. This is long-duration optionality getting repriced.

  • AppLovin (+2%)
    Analyst upgrade confirms what price already knew. Ads + AI + scale = operating leverage.


  • STOCKS IN THE RED (–)

  • Airlines: United Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Southwest Airlines (~-1%)
    Ice storms kill margins fast. Fixed costs don’t care about weather excuses. This is operational risk pricing.

  • Enphase Energy (-2%)
    Layoffs = margin defense. Solar still needs rate relief, and the bond market isn’t cooperating.

  • “Earnings are an opinion; 
    cash flow is a fact.” 

    | Alfred Rappaport


    “The reason you have a job.... 
    is because your money is unemployed! 

    LETS FIX THAT!

    STRENGTHS
    The market’s core strength right now is where the money is hiding—not if it exists. Commodities are ripping, AI infrastructure is absorbing capital at scale, and megacap tech is about to justify (or reset) valuations through earnings. Gold above $5K, silver going vertical, and rare earths catching government backing all signal the same thing: hard assets and strategic inputs are in demand. Volatility remains controlled, not chaotic, which keeps options pricing attractive for disciplined traders. This is a market with power under the hood—just not evenly distributed.

    WEAKNESSES
    Breadth is thin and fragile. Back-to-back S&P losses, small caps lagging, airlines crippled by weather, and retailers trimming guidance all point to an economy where margins are under pressure. The dollar sliding and yields staying sticky create a squeeze that exposes weak balance sheets fast. Add in tariff cost creep and operational disruptions from winter storms, and you’ve got a market where excuses don’t protect earnings. Weak hands are being identified in real time—and priced accordingly.

    OPPORTUNITIES
    This is a trader’s tape, not a tourist’s market. Earnings reactions—especially from megacap tech—offer asymmetric setups where volatility meets liquidity. FX-driven commodity strength creates clean trend continuation trades. Weather-induced dislocations in energy, utilities, and nat gas are tactical opportunities, not long-term investments. M&A Monday energy, government-backed supply chain plays, and AI infrastructure spending all provide rotation lanes for capital that knows where it’s going next. Opportunity favors preparation, not prediction.

    THREATS
    The real threats aren’t the headlines—they’re the intersections. A Fed meeting layered on top of megacap earnings, government shutdown theatrics, geopolitical flare-ups, and policy uncertainty can spike volatility without warning. Overcrowded AI trades risk air pockets if guidance disappoints. Liquidity can vanish quickly at month-end as funds rebalance. This is not the environment to freestyle trades. Mis-timed conviction gets punished faster than bad analysis.


    TRUMP TACTICS — ACTIVE (2nd Term Playbook)

    Not a prediction. Just the visible operating pattern hitting markets right now.)

  • Framework Diplomacy: announce “frameworks” first, negotiate details later (markets trade headlines, not footnotes).

  • T.A.C.O. Bounce Buying: stir fear → reverse tone → risk assets pop → repeat.

  • Territory & Resources Leverage: Greenland narrative = strategic access without boots on the ground.

  • Regime Pressure Posture: using pressure + backchannels to influence outcomes (Cuba/Venezuela theme in the tape).

  • Tariff & Trade Threat Optionality: keeping Europe/partners off-balance to extract concessions.

  • Domestic Disruption Signaling: bold operational changes (like regulatory posture shifts) that reprice entire sectors fast.




    TECH EARNINGS + FED WEEK

    Trade the reaction, not the rumor.

    Surprise stat: historically, ~65% of the weekly gains during peak earnings seasons come from the first 48 hours after results, not before. 

    Let price confirm, then deploy options for asymmetric risk.

    “Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” 

    | — John Maynard Keynese.

    January 26th

    January earnings weeks have a habit: the largest single-day moves often arrive mid-week, right after the Fed statement collides with megacap prints. Volatility clusters—plan for it.




    Over long horizons, equities have compounded wealth faster than any other liquid asset class because gains reinvest into gains. That flywheel doesn’t exist in cash. Time + discipline = unfair advantage.


    “The big money is not in the buying or selling, but in the waiting.” 
    - Jesse Livermore



    This market is loud on purpose.

    Ice storms. Canceled flights. Fed headlines. Earnings landmines.
    The noise isn’t accidental — it’s designed to rush you into action without clarity.

    Here’s the truth most traders never internalize:

    Urgency is not opportunity.

    The disciplined trader doesn’t confuse movement with meaning. When volatility rises and headlines stack, the temptation is to do something—anything—to feel in control. But control is an illusion. 

    Stewardship is the edge.

    Stewardship says:

    “I don’t need to predict the storm. I need to position myself so it can’t wipe me out.”


    This is where Time Freedom Traders separate themselves. While others panic-trade the headlines, you wait for alignment. You respect process. You protect capital. You understand that not trading is often the most profitable decision of the week.

    The market always tests patience before it rewards precision.


    “Be still before the Lord and wait patiently for Him;
    do not fret when people succeed in their ways.” 

    — Psalm 37:7

    This verse isn’t about passivity. It’s about posture.

    Stillness doesn’t mean inactivity.
    It means refusing to be emotionally hijacked.

    Patience isn’t delay.
    It’s discipline under pressure.

    When everyone else is reacting to what just happened, you’re preparing for what must happen next. That’s abundance thinking. That’s maturity. That’s trading with faith instead of fear.

    Mental model for today:

    • You don’t need every move.

    • You need your move.

    • And it will come—after the noise does its job.

    The storm clears.
    Liquidity returns.
    Trends reassert themselves.

    And the trader who waited…
    is the one who gets paid.

    Because average traders chase relief.

    Time Freedom Traders earn clarity.


    Want to Learn More?

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    Picture this: it’s December 2026… and your calendar isn’t owned by meetings.

    It’s owned by choices.

    • Like / Subscribe / Share

    • Watch the YouTube channel

    • DM me with questions

    .


    “FAST FORWARD to DECEMBER of 2026"


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    And the market doesn’t pay hope… it pays execution.


    Fast-forward 12 months.

    It’s December 2026.

    The Fed is doing whatever the Fed does.

    AI is on its 7th hype cycle.

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    You just read a full breakdown of:

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    And if this hit you… you already know what you’re supposed to do next.



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    Empty space, drag to resize

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     | The "Bald Bull

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                                                                                 - Jesse Livermore



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    THE TIME FREEDOM TRADING SYSTEM empowers Main Street with Wall Street knowledge and tools to compound wealth and earn time freedom through proven trading and investing strategies. Learning how the stock market works from the inside is critical to compounding wealth consistently in any market environment. Time Freedom Trading empowers you to build your own financial flywheel based upon your skills and goals.  Regardless of the technology or market volatility, with TIME FREEDOM TRADING you will have the right mentor and mental coach who will reveal the patterns in human nature that don’t repeat but do rhyme which you can profit from. Whether it’s stocks, options, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), or futures, we empower you with an effective skill set and tools for everyone at every level of experience to earn time freedom.

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