October kicked in with a bang!

Futures are flexing green, momentum is on steroids, and the government shutdown sideshow isn’t stopping the rally.

Historically, shutdowns are a “non-event,” but with the jobs data blackout in effect, traders are left reading tea leaves instead of payrolls. That adds uncertainty—but also speculation juice.

Here’s the deal: new month = new money, and we’re in the Super Six window—those first six trading days when institutional allocations, retirement flows, and corporate buybacks collide to fuel rallies. 

Add in Q4 seasonality, sprinkle some FOMO, and you’ve got cash coming off the sidelines in what is a pull forward Fall Move.

Tesla is up over 90% (let that sink in) as Q3 numbers drop today. 

The big watch? 

Look for the reaction to the retired EV tax credit. 

Meanwhile, Warren Buffett isn’t slowing down—Berkshire just inked a $10B deal for OxyChem. 

The Oracle of Omaha still has firepower in the tank.

Strengths: Momentum and liquidity flows are driving the rally into October. Tesla’s Q3 print could add more fuel. Berkshire’s deal shows M&A appetite still alive. Super Six period seasonality is historically one of the strongest profit windows.

Weaknesses: Data blackout from the shutdown reduces transparency. Lack of jobs data = blind spots. Credit bureau carnage (TRU, EFX) shows disruption risk in financials.

Opportunities: Fair Isaac’s bold move shows where fintech leverage lies—direct data access. Western Digital’s Japan expansion signals capex confidence, echoing the AI data boom. Curbline buybacks highlight REITs as a possible Q4 rotation play.

Threats: Overextended sentiment (Bloom’s 254% Q3 move is Exhibit A) leaves plenty of room for rug pulls. Lithium sector cooling warns of chasing hype. Political risk from the shutdown could resurface fast if economic data delays compound.

Shutdowns vs. Stocks

On October 1, 2007, the S&P 500 opened the fourth quarter just 2% shy of its all-time high—only to peak days later before the financial crisis unraveled. Translation: October 1st often looks deceptively strong… but history whispers caution.

Shutdowns are noisy—but historically not deadly to markets:

• The S&P 500 has posted gains in 12 of 21 shutdowns, averaging +0.1% during the shutdown window.

• The 2018–2019 shutdown (35 days) saw the index rip +10.3%.

• The 2013 shutdown (16 days) produced a +3.1% gain.

• A year later, stocks were higher ~86% of the time, averaging mid-teen returns.

Translation: Shutdowns rarely break markets. But with permanent furloughs and delayed data in play, this one carries sharper edges.

FOMO is at full throttle right now. 

Everyone wants in. But here’s the hard truth: clarity beats chasing. Without a proven operating system, you’re just another tourist in the casino of the market. The Time Freedom Trader’s edge is this: trade the seasonality with precision, not emotion.

Q4 isn’t just about quarter-end quotas and sales chasing. It’s about flipping your own Financial Flywheel—compounding intentional moves into lasting wealth. Will 2025 be a repeat of chasing?

Or will you reboot your operating system, step off the wage treadmill, and actually trade with conviction?

It’s your time. It’s your choice. The markets won’t wait for you.

When you build your trading around a system—not hype, not headlines—you operate with discipline. That’s how you turn compulsion into conviction and FOMO into freedom.

• Think like a Trader and Investor
• Build your own "consistency code"
• Grow into Profits with Providence. 

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