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The W.T.F. Report
November, 3rd, 2025


Monday, November 3rd, 2025
Welcome to “Money Monday”
— where the markets reap what they sow,
and traders decide whether to plant discipline or chase dopamine
“It's HARVEST SEASON
MERGER MONDAY IS BACK, BABY.”
November has arrived — the Super Six Trading Period and the Month of Abundance.
This is when we don’t just talk about compounding… we collect it.
And yes, Wall Street’s already rolling in the hay. Futures are perky, traders are caffeinated, and the market’s acting like it just got its year-end bonus two months early.
HERE’S WHERE THINGS STAND TO KICK OFF NOVEMBER
October didn’t disappoint — unless you were short.
-
S&P 500: +2.3%
-
Dow Jones: +2.5%
-
Nasdaq Composite: +4.7%
That’s right — the tech tide lifted all boats while AI hype, cooling U.S.–China tension, and merger mania fueled the rally. Even the bears are stress-eating their Halloween candy.
This week, the spotlight’s back on Trump’s tariff agenda, which hits the Supreme Court on Wednesday for oral arguments. Yep — even the Justices are getting a market catalyst cameo.
Meanwhile, earnings season is far from over — over 300 S&P names have reported, and 80% have beaten expectations. Translation: either analysts are lazy… or corporate America’s flexing hard.
And here’s your bullish trivia: November is historically the strongest month of the year for the S&P 500, with an average gain of +1.8%.
History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes… with profits.
MERGER MONDAY MAYHEM & MARKET MADNESS
Kimberly-Clark (KMB) just bought Kenvue (KVUE) for $48 billion — because apparently, diapers and Band-Aids now belong in the same portfolio. KVUE rockets +20%, KMB dumps −16%. Wall Street calls it “synergy,” we call it “ouch.”
NVIDIA (NVDA) pops +2% pre-market — Loop Capital says it’s got +75% upside. That’s like telling a Ferrari it’s not going fast enough.
Microsoft got the green light to expand its AI footprint in the UAE. Translation: Skynet is going global.
Berkshire Hathaway prints another quarter of domination — Buffett’s holding cash while quietly owning half of America.
India’s tariffs now beat China’s. Global trade is officially a soap opera.
Government shutdown: Day 34 — workers are broke, airports are empty, and Congress is still arguing about the bill.
The stock market is designed to transfer money from the active to the patient.”
— Warren Buffett

CATALYSTS ON WATCH — WEEK AHEAD
Note: Some data may be delayed thanks to our “out-of-office” government.)
MONDAY:
-
Palantir (PLTR) earnings (After the Bell)
-
ISM Manufacturing Index
-
September Construction Spending
TUESDAY:
-
Election Day
-
Uber (UBER), Spotify (SPOT), Shopify (SHOP), Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH), Pfizer (PFE), Yum Brands (YUM) earnings (Before the Bell)
-
AMD, Pinterest, Super Micro (SMCI), Hinge Health, Amgen, Rivian earnings (After the Bell)
-
September International Trade Data
-
JOLTS Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey
WEDNESDAY:
-
McDonald’s (MCD) earnings (Before the Bell)
-
Qualcomm (QCOM), Snap (SNAP), Arm Holdings (ARM), Lyft (LYFT), Figma, e.l.f. Beauty (ELF), Lucid Group (LCID) earnings (After the Bell)
-
Weekly Mortgage Apps
-
ADP Private Payrolls
-
ISM Services Index
THURSDAY:
-
Warner Bros Discovery (WBD), Tapestry (TPR), Under Armour (UAA), Moderna (MRNA) earnings (Before the Bell)
-
Airbnb (ABNB), Affirm (AFRM), Block (SQ), Peloton (PTON) earnings (After the Bell)
-
Weekly Jobless Claims
-
Q3 Productivity & Costs (Prelim)
FRIDAY:
October Jobs Report
-
Preliminary Consumer Sentiment Data

PRE-MARKET MOVERS:
WHO’S CASHING IN BEFORE THE BELL”
Grab your coffee and buckle up — it’s Merger Monday meets Money Monday, and the tape’s lighting up like Times Square at tax refund season. Here’s who’s stealing the spotlight before the open:
Iren — +22% and flexing. The data-center darling inked a $9.7 billion deal with Microsoft for access to Nvidia GB300 GPUs over five years. Translation: AI just got another sugar daddy.
OpenAI signs $38 billion compute deal with Amazon, partnering with cloud leader for first time
Semiconductors — Riding Iren’s coattails like it’s 2023 again. Nvidia +2%, Micron (MU) +4%, AMD +1%. When chips rip, everything with a circuit board gets a halo.
ON Semiconductor (ON) — +3% after beating both top and bottom lines. EPS 63 cents vs 59 expected, revenue $1.55 B vs $1.52 B. The “ON” button is officially stuck.
Kenvue (KVUE) — +20%. The Tylenol + Band-Aid mash-up just got scooped by Kimberly-Clark (KMB) for $48.7 B in cash + stock. Cue the Kleenex for KMB shareholders (-16%).
Cipher Mining (CIFR) — +17% after posting a narrower-than-expected loss (-$0.01 vs -$0.04 expected). Missed revenue slightly, but who cares? Bitcoin’s hot, and “AI + Mining” sounds sexy.
New Gold (NGD) — +9% after Coeur Mining announced an all-stock acquisition with a 16% premium. Gold bugs are buzzing; mergers are minting.
Idexx Laboratories (IDXX) — +7%. Pets are officially recession-proof. Revenue beat ($1.11 B vs $1.07 B) and they raised guidance. Rover rejoices.
Freshpet (FRPT) — +7%. Earnings topped expectations, revenue beat, and apparently Fido’s kibble just became a high-growth asset class.
Beyond Meat (BYND) — -8%. Still trying to cook the books… literally. Delayed its earnings report to figure out a non-cash impairment charge. Investors call that “well done.”
Palantir (PLTR) — +3% ahead of earnings tonight. The AI data-warrior keeps riding the hype into the close — let’s see if the numbers match the narrative.
Cisco Systems (CSCO) — +1% after an UBS upgrade to “Buy.” The note cited a multi-year AI infrastructure boom, a big campus refresh cycle, and growing security momentum. Grandpa Cisco just got his groove back.
Eaton Corp (ETN) — -1% after announcing a $9.5 B acquisition of Boyd Thermal. Investors hate it when industrials go shopping — but M&A Mondays don’t stop for anyone.
TFT Takeaway:
M&A’s heating up, AI’s still the main character, and the market’s acting like it skipped breakfast and went straight to espresso shots. The playbook today?
Trade the reaction, not the rumor.
When you see a name up double-digits pre-market, don’t chase — wait for confirmation, volume, and follow-through. That’s how Time Freedom Traders separate the gamblers from the growers.
Because remember — the market doesn’t reward who trades first…
it rewards who trades right.

“THE MONTH OF ABUNDANCE”
Strengths:
-
M&A frenzy is a bullish tell.
-
AI momentum = market muscle.
-
Fed quiet for now = short-term stability.
Weaknesses:
-
Day 34 of the shutdown. The only thing open in D.C. is frustration.
-
Tariffs = economic speed bumps.
-
Market breadth narrowing — fewer stocks pulling all the weight.
Opportunities:
-
Earnings roulette this week = prime short-term setups.
-
Merger Monday = volatility = trader’s candy store.
-
Rotation trades as smart money repositions for Q4.
Threats:
-
Fed speakers could spook the bond market.
-
Election outcomes = headline risk.
-
Thin volume = fake breakouts = trap city.
MARKET MEMORY

THE MERGER THAT MOVED THE MARKET”
Let’s rewind the tape to November 3, 2014.
That was a classic Merger Monday that lit up Wall Street.
The Setup:
Activist investors were riding high, cheap money was everywhere, and corporate America was on an M&A bender. On that Monday, Tim Hortons and Burger King officially completed their $11 billion merger — a maple-flavored power play that created Restaurant Brands International (QSR). It was one of the largest restaurant deals in history.
The deal sent the entire consumer discretionary sector into a sugar rush. Traders piled into anything that sold caffeine or calories, expecting a wave of follow-on deals. The S&P 500 popped 1.2% that week, led by small-cap consumer names and fast-food chains.
Then came the hangover: by mid-November, the euphoria faded, valuations cooled, and half of those names gave back their gains.
The Lesson:
Merger Mondays feel like rocket fuel — but they’re often mean reversion in disguise. The initial pop is excitement; the second wave is where the professionals quietly reposition. The smart money doesn’t chase the headline — it trades the flow after the dust settles.
The TFT Takeaway:
When M&A headlines hit, let the crowd overreact.
Watch volume, confirm rotation, and wait for alignment — Catalyst. Trend. Setup. Confirmation.
That’s when you trade the turn to earn.
Because remember — every “Merger Monday” eventually becomes “Profit-Taking Friday.”

Rule #1: Don’t chase the news. Trade the reaction.
Everyone piles into the hot headline — but the real money’s made on the second move when emotion fades and structure returns.
-
Long the AI leaders (NVDA, MSFT).
-
Short the bloated acquirers (KMB — enjoy the hangover).
-
Wait for confirmation before conviction.
Follow the E.D.G.E. Protocol™ — Execute, Defend, Grade, Elevate.
That’s how you stack skill, not stress.

The market’s is chopping at the top of the charts with the daily candles profit taking showing in the candels. Momentum’s still positive, but breadth’s getting weak — that’s your cue to be selective.
NVDA needs to hold its breakout zone to keep the AI party going. If it fails, watch the domino effect across semis.
Freedom Fact: When NVDA opens +2% on a Monday, it closes red by Friday 63% of the time. Translation: Don’t chase green candles — trade the turn.

❓PRIOR TRIVIA QUESTION:
FRIDAYS' TRIVIA
October 31st, 1929, Wall Street was still reeling from the crash that kicked off the Great Depression.
But here’s the question…
What famous phrase was first coined by a newspaper that week to describe the market’s collapse — and later became synonymous with panic selling?
A) “Black Friday”
B) “Black Tuesday”
C) “Margin Massacre”
D) “The Great Unwind”
Because markets don’t just move in cycles — they rhyme in history.
✅ ANSWER:
MARKET MEMORY MONDAY™ — The Lesson Behind the Legend
Friday’s Trivia Answer: “Black Tuesday.”
On October 29, 1929, Wall Street traded 16 million shares — and fear traded faster than facts. “Black Tuesday” became the defining moment of the Great Depression.
TFT Takeaway: Every market ghost tells the same story — euphoria kills clarity. The traders who survived 1929 weren’t lucky — they were liquid, disciplined, and data-driven.
Trade the turn, not the terror.
❓MONDAY NOVEMBER 3rd, 2025 TRIVIA
QUESTION: What percentage of total market gains historically come from the top 10 trading days each year?
(Hint: Miss those days, and your returns look like government efficiency.)
👉 Tune in to tomorrow’s WTF Pre-Market Report for the answer.

| Colossians 3:23
WORK FOR FREEDOM, NOT FOR FRIDAY.
Let’s be real — most people work for the weekend. They grind for someone else’s dream, trade their time for a paycheck, and call it “security.” But the Time Freedom Trader? We work for freedom.
The market doesn’t care about your boss, your commute, or your LinkedIn title. It rewards one thing: alignment. Alignment between your discipline, your decisions, and your divine design.
That’s what November’s “Month of Abundance” is all about — reaping what you’ve been sowing all year. You don’t plant consistency in April and expect harvest in November if you stopped watering in July. Every chart you’ve studied, every journal entry you’ve logged, every no-trade day you honored — that’s the soil your freedom grows in.
Trading isn’t about gambling your way out of the 9-to-5. It’s about building your Wealth Operating System — one disciplined decision at a time. Every trade is a reflection of who you’re becoming: patient, purposeful, precise.
So as this new month begins, remember:
-
You’re not here to impress Wall Street — you’re here to outlast it.
-
You’re not chasing cash — you’re compounding clarity.
-
You’re not trading for Friday — you’re trading for forever.
This month, work with your whole heart — not for your boss, not for your ego, but for your freedom.
Because when your purpose fuels your process, and your process compounds your peace, that’s when you hit Providence — the ultimate alignment of wealth, time, and purpose.
Trade like it’s your calling, not your job.
Trade with conviction, not convenience.
And remember — you’re just one trade away from changing your life.
If you’re done guessing and ready to start compounding — join the Time Freedom Trading Fall Cohort today.
We’ll install your Wealth Operating System so you can trade with clarity, conviction, and confidence.
Because freedom isn’t found in the trades you take — it’s in the trader you become.


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| The "Bald Bull


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