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Nov 18 / The BALD BULL

November 18th, 2025

The WTF Premarket Report isn’t your average Wall Street snooze-fest. It’s your daily tactical briefing—your morning intel—delivered with clarity, edge, and just enough snark to keep you caffeinated before the opening bell. Every edition breaks down the moves that matter: futures flow, Fed fireworks, political curveballs, sector rotations, and premarket movers that can make or break your day. Expect a SWOT analysis to sharpen your edge, a mindset reset to keep you disciplined, and a Bible truth that ties it all back to purpose. This isn’t noise—it’s navigation. Because in this game, you don’t need more headlines, you need clarity, conviction, and the courage to pull the trigger.

TACTICAL TUESDAY
November 18th, 2025

Hurry Up & Wait — The NVDA Earnings Hunger Games
( Despite the CLOUDFLARE OUTAGE TODAY! ) 


The entire market is sitting outside Nvidia HQ like teenagers camping for a Taylor Swift concert… except instead of bracelets and friendship, we’re trading gamma exposure and praying the VIX stops breathing fire.

Alright traders…

Tactical Tuesday is here and the charts look like they’ve been in a 4-day boxing match with Tyson.

  • Markets have been down 4 straight sessions, each close slicing below the 50-day MA like it owes money.

  • We’re ~4% off all-time highs, which on the surface sounds cute… until you realize the VIX is screaming 24, Bitcoin just lost the 90k flex, and the AI trade is acting like it just woke up from a 7-month bender.

  • Futures? Down 5 days in a row like someone unplugged the bull market WiFi.

And all of it… right after the government reopened.

Coincidence?

Or does the market simply perform better when D.C. is closed and can’t touch anything? 

The crowd psychology today?
Hope, hype, and heartburn as the entire world waits for Nvidia to report tomorrow — the $3T earnings event that somehow decides the mood of every asset class, including your grandma’s savings bonds.

The big picture?
The weekly and monthly charts are throwing off “fatigue” signals like a marathon runner on mile 30.

This pullback is normal.

Healthy.

Needed.

But don’t lie — it still stings.


This is what bubbles sound like when the air is escaping slowly instead of exploding violently… Pffftttttttt…

(That’s the AI trade deflating, not your morning coffee machine.)


KEY CATALYSTS TODAY 
BULLETS OF TRUTH & CHAOS


Cloudflare Face-Plants

The company blames an “unusual spike in traffic” for an outage.
Translation: “Something broke and we don’t know why.”

Tech Leads the Slide — Again

S&P 500 goes red for the fourth straight quarter start, Nvidia drags large-cap tech lower after Peter Thiel rage-quit the stock.
Dell & HPE got absolutely buried (-8% and -7%) after Morgan Stanley pulled the plug on their optimism.

Apple keeps bleeding

Berkshire keeps trimming Apple like a bonsai tree gone wrong.
Alphabet?
Warren’s new crush — stock popped 3% after a $4.3B disclosure.

Bitcoin loses 90k

The crypto crowd is coping.
This is the “credit default swaps déjà vu” energy we warned about.

Retail Weakness Incoming

Home Depot misses earnings AGAIN, trims outlook, blames consumer uncertainty.
Translation: People aren’t buying generators; they’re buying… nothing.

AI + Jobs = Weird Combo

Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett:
AI is boosting productivity so aggressively that hiring might actually slow.
Quiet labor market = loud fear.

Fed's Waller

He's warming up for a December rate cut.
One hand on the steering wheel, the other on the parachute.

Panera RISE Strategy

Panera is trying to glow up with better food, better stores, better vibes.
They need more bread before they make bread.


“In bear markets, stocks return 
to their rightful owners.” — J.P. Morgan 

PreMarket: “The Winners and Losers"

STOCKS IN THE GREEN (+)

  • Amer Sports +8% — Strong earnings across the board. Sneakers, skis, and sports gear winning while everything else melts.

  • Axalta +6% — Merging with AkzoNobel in a $25B deal. Coatings are hot — literally and financially.

  • Barrick Mining +2.8% — Elliott Management hopped in like activist Batman. Splitting the company is on the menu.


  • STOCKS IN THE RED (–)

  • Blue Owl Capital –1% — Investors locked up, redemption gates closed. Not a good vibe.

  • Home Depot –1.2% — Earnings miss, guidance cut. Third miss in a row. Housing weakness continues.

  • Helmerich & Payne –7% — Missed earnings badly. Drilling rigs… drilling straight downward.




  • STRENGTHS

    Equities are still structurally bullish long-term. Despite the pullback, large-cap tech remains the gravitational center of global capital. Seasonality favors strength into year-end, and the Fed hinting at December rate cuts gives an embedded safety net. Volatility is elevated, but controlled — a sign of recalibration, not collapse.

    WEAKNESSES

    Short-term momentum is broken. We’ve lost the 50-day MA decisively, and leadership has evaporated across AI, semis, and mega-cap tech. Retail weakness (HD), Bitcoin slipping under key levels, and rising correlation between assets signal a fragile risk environment. Froth has unwound from the AI complex.

    OPPORTUNITIES

    This correction is a gift for disciplined operators. Mean reversion setups are forming, sector rotation is widening, and smart money is quietly repositioning into value, commodities, and quality factor names. The NVDA earnings event will reset the board — offering high-probability post-event tactical trades.

    THREATS

    A failed NVDA print could cascade into a broader unwinding of AI multiples. Elevated VIX (24) increases instability. Government reopening brings legislative noise back online. Bitcoin’s weakness may spill into broader risk assets. Rising margin debt increases liquidation risk on further downside.





     
    “Smart traders don’t fear volatility
    —they invoice it."

    TACTICAL INSIGHT — TIME FREEDOM TRADING WAY

    Today is a T.U.R.N. Framework day if I’ve ever seen one.

    This is exactly where amateurs get chopped up…
    …and where operators get paid.

    Here’s your Tactical Tuesday guidance:

    • Tune In:
      Trend is weakening. VIX rising. No-trade zones will trap the impulsive.

    • Understand Rotation:
      Money is leaving megacaps and peeking into value, gold, and defensive assets. Follow the rotation, not the noise.

    • Retracement Zone Setup:
      We’re hovering near oversold short-term conditions. Wait for a clean pullback into defined zones — not a falling knife.

    • Nail the Power Zone:
      StochRSI under 20 setting up for a reversal?
      Volume confirming?
      Catalyst aligned?
      THAT’S your edge.

    Remember:
    You don’t chase — you retrace.
    You trade the turn to earn.
    You’re just one trade away.


    MARKET MEMORY

    November 18, 2013 — Tesla Survives the Firestorm

    From Oct 1st into November Tesla was getting roasted harder than a Thanksgiving turkey. A series of Model S battery-fire headlines detonated across financial media, and fear spread fast.

    Result?

    • TSLA plunged over 38% in less than 6 weeks

    • Analysts called the stock “overhyped vaporware”

    • Short sellers piled on like it was a feeding frenzy


    But here’s the plot twist every Time Freedom Trader must tattoo on their mindset:


    That fear-driven collapse became the launchpad for one of the greatest multi-year runs of the decade.


    TSLA turned panic into profit.

    Doubt into domination.

    Volatility into victory.


    Market Memory Lesson:

    Fear creates forced exits.

    Forced exits create mispricing.

    Mispricing creates opportunity
    —for the operators who know how to trade the turn.


    This is why we study history:

    Because the market’s rhythm repeats…

    But only the prepared recognize the cadence.

    WHY YOU MUST LEARN TO EARN TIME FREEDOM...

    The average American now spends more hours working than any previous generation

    and yet feels more financially trapped than ever.

    According to labor data:

    • Productivity is up 77% since 1979

    • But real wages are up only 12%

    • 70% of professionals feel “time-poor”

    • And the biggest cost? Lost life energy


    Translation?


    You’re grinding harder, earning less, and watching AI swallow white-collar jobs like popcorn shrimp.

    The modern economy doesn’t pay you for loyalty.
    It doesn’t pay you for grinding.
    It doesn’t pay you for time.


    It pays you for leverage.

    Leverage creates freedom.
    And trading is one of the purest forms of personal leverage in existence.


    Trading lets you:

    • Earn without clocking in

    • Scale without asking permission

    • Compound without needing a boss

    • Build wealth without sacrificing your life


    This is why the wealthy worship one thing above everything else:


    Freedom is earned through asymmetry — not hours.


    And the market is the greatest asymmetry engine on the planet.


    Your job?
    Stop being the labor.
    Start becoming the leverage.

    Because time freedom isn’t a dream.

    It’s a discipline.

    It’s a skillset.

    It’s a system.

    And it’s waiting for the trader bold enough to step out of the wage cage and into the world of compounding.

    One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity.
    You’re just one trade away.


    “The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses on Wall Street, even among the professionals.”
    Jesse Livermore

    In other words: Sit on your hands until the market gives you permission to strike.

    “Because the best traders don’t just read charts — they read history.”

    ❓PRIOR TRIVIA QUESTION:  

    Which S&P 500 company once ...
    fell more than 40% in a single day…
    and then became one of the greatest multi-year compounders of its decade?

    A) Nvidia
    B) Netflix
    C) Tesla

    ✅  ANSWER:   B) Netflix

    And ohhhh yes… this one’s a masterclass in trading the turn long before the T.U.R.N. Framework had a name.

    Let’s break it down like a Wall Street war story…

    THE CRASH THAT FELT LIKE A SERIES FINALE

    In 2011, Netflix committed the corporate equivalent of “honey, I shrunk the business model.”

    They launched Qwikster—a catastrophic plan to split DVDs and streaming into two separate services, jack up prices, and force customers through a clunky transition.

    Result?

    • Subscribers revolted

    • Wall Street panicked

    • Confidence collapsed

    • And the stock cratered more than 40% in a single day

    This wasn’t a dip.

    This was a nosedive into the Mariana Trench.

    THE TURN THAT CREATED A DECADE OF DOMINATION

    But here’s where the galaxy-brain lesson kicks in:


    Netflix didn’t die. Netflix pivoted.

    They scrapped Qwikster.
    They doubled down on streaming.
    They built original content.
    They scaled globally.
    They turned chaos into a catalyst.


    From that disaster low, Netflix went on a mighty multi-year compounder run, turning early believers into legend-status winners.


    This is why Time Freedom Traders don’t fear volatility —we study it, stalk it, and strike the turn.


    THE TFT TAKEAWAY

    This story is a whole sermon:

    • A brutal drop does not mean the story is over

    • Price collapses often hide the seeds of future dominance

    • Sentiment extremes create asymmetric opportunity

    • The biggest compounders often survive the biggest disasters

    • Volatility is the paid internship for long-term wizards

    The money wasn't in the move down —
    It was in having the courage, clarity, and conviction to spot the pivot.

    Or as the Time Freedom Trading Mantra reminds us:

    “I don’t trade noise—I trade the turn.”

    ❓Today’s Trivia:

    Which legendary S&P 500 stock delivered one of the fastest 10x runs of the modern era…but only after suffering a brutal 75% drawdown that scared almost every investor away?

    A) Amazon

    B) Nvidia

    C) Apple

    This one separates the dabblers from the dominators.

    Tune in Wednesday for the answer
    — and the lesson every Time Freedom Trader needs tattooed on their trading brain.

    One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity.

    Precision Over Panic

    Tactical Tuesday isn’t about throwing haymakers at the market. It’s about sharpening the blade.

    Most traders lose because they move like tourists in a combat zone —snapping pictures, following the crowd, reacting to every headline.

    But Time Freedom Traders?

    We move like mental special ops—calm, calculated, controlled.

    Today’s reminder is simple:

    Stop reacting. Start responding.


    Reaction is emotional.
    Response is intentional.
    Reaction is noise.
    Response is signal.

    When you trade from emotion, you chase candles and call it “intuition.”

    When you trade from intention, you follow process, not panic.
    You become the operator—not the target.

    And that’s the real breakthrough:

    Clarity doesn’t come from forcing trades.
    Clarity comes from filtering out what doesn’t deserve your energy.


    This is why the T.U.R.N. Framework starts with Tune In before you do anything else.  Because if your internal state is chaotic, the chart will lie to you.


    “Be still, and know that I am God.” 

    — Psalm 46:10


    This isn’t a call to inactivity.
    It’s a call to inner stillness—the kind that gives you power, clarity, and conviction.

    Stillness is a weapon.
    Stillness keeps you from chasing false moves.
    Stillness helps you wait for the turn instead of the temptation.
    Stillness aligns your identity with the creator, not the crowd.


    In trading and in life: When you’re rooted, you’re not rattled.
    When you’re grounded, you’re not guessing.
    When you’re still, you can see.

    And when you can see?
    You can strike with precision.

    THE TACTICAL TAKEAWAY

    Today, ask yourself:

    • Am I operating from clarity or adrenaline?

    • Am I chasing setups or selecting them?

    • Am I trading the chart or trading my emotions?

    Because Tactical Tuesday isn’t about doing more.
    It’s about doing less—with greater power.


    “Your capital compounds 
    where your conviction lives.”

    Step Into the Operator Mindset

    Imagine showing up to your charts with a calm, commanding presence…

    …no FOMO

    …no fear

    …no flinching

    Just structure.

    Just signals.

    Just conviction.

    That’s the mindset that compounds.
    That’s the identity that earns freedom.
    And that’s the trader Time Freedom Trading is shaping you into— one ritual, one framework, one insight at a time.

    You’re just one trade away.


    Empty space, drag to resize
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    Freedom awaits—are you ready to claim it?

     | The "Bald Bull

    P.S. If you want to get free,
    book a call with me!



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                                                                                 - Jesse Livermore



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    THE TIME FREEDOM TRADING SYSTEM empowers Main Street with Wall Street knowledge and tools to compound wealth and earn time freedom through proven trading and investing strategies. Learning how the stock market works from the inside is critical to compounding wealth consistently in any market environment. Time Freedom Trading empowers you to build your own financial flywheel based upon your skills and goals.  Regardless of the technology or market volatility, with TIME FREEDOM TRADING you will have the right mentor and mental coach who will reveal the patterns in human nature that don’t repeat but do rhyme which you can profit from. Whether it’s stocks, options, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), or futures, we empower you with an effective skill set and tools for everyone at every level of experience to earn time freedom.

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