“THE GREAT GPU GRAVITY CHECK”

FED MINUTES and FED TALK hit today 

GLOBAL DRIP: JAPAN DRAMA  

Japan’s market jitters could leak into global sentiment.
Think of it like wasabi—only a small dab is needed to ruin your entire morning.

POLITICAL POWER PLAY: THE $1 TRILLION HANDSHAKE

President Trump + MBS rolled out the red carpet, shook hands, and casually dropped a $1 TRILLION investment agreement in US industry.
Teflon Don still making deals like he’s allergic to recessions.

TESLA WINS ANOTHER PERMIT

Tesla gets approval to run a ride-hail service in Arizona.
Because apparently robotaxis before functional wipers is still the company roadmap.

BLUE OWL WHO ( OWL) ? 

AI WARS: THE BATTLE RAGES

• NVDA & MSFT partner with Anthropic — valuation jumps from $183B → $350B since September

• MSFT launches AI agent detection tech (corporate babysitting mode)

• Google announces Gemini 3 upgrade

• Intuit signs $100M+ deal with OpenAI to integrate ChatGPT into TurboTax

• Sector pulls market lower yesterday as traders de-froth

RETAIL ROUNDUP

Target (TGT)

Missed revenue. Cut guidance. Stock down ~3%.
New CEO says they’re “focused on growth” but can’t say when…
Translation: We hope next quarter doesn’t suck.

Lowe’s (LOW)

Beat EPS. Stock up 6%.
Americans apparently fix houses when markets fall.

Netflix (NFLX)

Now selling toys, merch, events, and “K-Pop Demon Hunters.”
Because when streaming slows, you open a mall.

CYBERSECURITY & ENERGY

Palo Alto Networks 

Reports after the bell. Expect fireworks.

Constellation Energy (CEG)

Up 3% after government offers $1B loan to restart Three Mile Island.
Nuclear energy is the comeback kid.

CHIP & SEMI

ON Semiconductor (ON)

Up 3% pre-market on a $6B buyback, despite being down 13% on the month.

NVDA Earnings — The Main Event

All eyes. All ears. All chips.
Nvidia has slipped 4% this week as traders pace like expectant fathers in a maternity ward.

Pre-market is up 1% because hopium is still federally legal.

On deck:

• Thermonuclear AI wars with MSFT, GOOG, OpenAI

• Anthropic’s valuation jumping to $350B

• Microsoft dropping Agent 365 like Inspector Gadget for rogue AI

• Google upgrading Gemini as they try to stop bleeding market share

• Intuit paying $100M+ to integrate ChatGPT into TurboTax

• S&P 500 logging its longest losing streak since August thanks to AI profit-taking

Tonight is AI Judgment Day.

Skynet wants receipts.

STRENGTHS

• Earnings catalysts (NVDA, PANW)

• Consumer spending resilience

• AI infrastructure investment tsunami

• Strong corporate buybacks (ON, TJX)
  
  

WEAKNESSES

• S&P’s longest losing streak since August

• Target weak guidance

• Rates ticking up, mortgage pain rising

• Japan instability
  
  

OPPORTUNITIES

• NVDA volatility = asymmetric trades

• Rotation into Energy, Retail value, and Semis

• Nuclear revival catalyst

• Crypto exchanges gaining traction
  
  

THREATS

• Plug Power’s face-plant spooking growth

• AI valuation compression

• Supply chain risk if Japan worsens

• Macro political unpredictability

TACTICAL INSIGHT of the DAY: 

“You don’t chase tech FOMO — you trade the retrace after froth.”

Tonight’s NVDA earnings will trigger a tidal wave.

Your job?

Ride the wave in the direction of the tide… not the direction of Twitter.

2008: Tesla secured its first major DOE loan application approval, which later became a critical piece of its survival during the financial crisis.

TFT Lesson:
History rewards the companies that convince the government to fund their dreams.

Yep — the silicon slayer itself.

Nvidia suffered a 75% crash between 2007–2009, and most investors swore it off forever.

But the ones who held their nerve?
They caught one of the fastest 10x runs of the modern era, as NVDA went from forgotten GPU sidekick… to the trillion-dollar AI war machine of the decade.

Lesson:
The biggest winners often disguise themselves as disasters before they dominate.

Trade the turn. Not the tantrum.

• Think like a Trader and Investor
• Build your own "consistency code"
• Grow into Profits with Providence. 

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