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The W.T.F. Report
December 2nd, 2025


Tuesday
December 2nd, 2025
#GIVING TUESDAY
“Giving Tuesday… and Wall Street is giving us volatility wrapped in a bow.”
“YEAR-END REROUTE — ROTATE OR GET ROLLED.”
Today’s metaphor: Think of the market like a crowded airport on December 23rd.
Everyone thinks they’re heading to the right gate… …until one loudspeaker announcement sends the entire terminal sprinting in a new direction.
That’s year-end rotation.
Sectors changing gates. Smart money changing seats.
Retail traders still looking for their luggage.
The question is: are YOU boarding the 2026 flight to freedom… or standing in line at the wrong terminal?
— Paul Tudor Jones
If you don’t have a system, volatility feels like a horror movie.
If you DO have a system, it feels like free money with faster WiFi.
Pump the Brakes
Yesterday’s rally slammed into a wall made of Bitcoin tears and Shopify error messages.
-
All major indexes broke their 5-day win streaks.
-
Crypto imploded. Again.
Bitcoin had its worst day since March. -
Code Red at Chat GPT - Oh boy!
-
Crypto stocks + some AI names caught shrapnel.
-
Retail stocks went full Santa Mode 🎅 with XRT up over 6% this week.
Apple’s AI Shake-Up
The head of AI resigns. Amar Subramanya steps in.
Translation: Apple finally realized “Siri, set a timer” isn't competitive AI.
Shopify Faceplants
Black Friday? Check.
Cyber Monday? Nope—Shopify servers clocked out early.
Shares fell 6%.
SoftBank Hits “Sell” on NVDA
Masayoshi Son cashes out of Nvidia…
…so he can place even bigger bets on AI.
He claims super AI will add 10% to global GDP.
Big if true.
YouTube Deepfake Tool = Plot Twist
They want your biometrics to remove deepfakes…
…but fine print says they might train AI with it.
Creators: 😬
YouTube: “Oops, our bad.”

PRE-MARKET INTERNALS
Futures are in mild-green holiday mode — like Wall Street’s trying to detox after yesterday’s crypto hangover.
-
DOW: +0.16%
-
S&P: +0.24%
-
NASDAQ: +0.35%
-
RUSSELL: +0.56%
-
VIX: 16.76 (quiet… suspiciously quiet 👀)
-
BTC: $87,355
-
GOLD: $4,238
-
OIL: $59.13
-
10YR: 4.111%
-
DXY: 99.44
“Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” — John Maynard Keynes
MARKET HEAT MAP - LIVE


PreMarket:
“The Winners and Losers"
STOCKS IN THE GREEN (+)
+24% — MongoDB (MDB)
Crushed earnings.
Raised guidance.
Wall Street: “Mongodamn.”
+16% — Credo Tech (CRDO)
AI cables + chips demand = rocket fuel.
Beat revenue and earnings.
Guided higher. Pure money flow magnet.
+5% — United Natural Foods (UNFI)
Earnings beat.
Revenue meh.
Still up because expectations were basement level.
+4.3% — Six Flags (FUN)
Upgraded to BUY.
New CEO. Fresh optimism.
Rollercoaster? Yes. But today… up only.
+3.5% — Teradyne (TER)
AI networking upgrade.
Stifel says: “You’re still early.”
+3% — Cloudflare (NET)
Initiated overweight.
Analysts: “We love it at $235.”
Investors: “Say less.”
+2.9% — Bausch + Lomb (BLCO)
Eye care pipeline strong.
Morgan Stanley says “overweight.”
Investors suddenly seeing clearly.
+2% — MicroStrategy (MSTR)
Bitcoin bounced slightly.
So did Saylor’s spirit.
+1.3% — Warner Bros Discovery (WBD)
Netflix maybe wants it.
Drama about a company that literally sells drama.
STOCKS IN THE RED (–)
–5% — Signet Jewelers (SIG)
Holiday guidance came in soft.
Apparently diamonds are not forever this season.
–41% — Janux Therapeutics (JANX)
Early cancer trial data missed.
Stock got obliterated.
That’s biotech for you—binaries or bust.

STRENGTHS
Holiday seasonality, retail resilience, and year-end fund flows are giving markets a stabilizing boost. Breadth is improving in small caps and industrials, and volatility remains muted. AI CAPEX continues to underpin tech strength even amid sporadic sell-offs.
WEAKNESSES
Crypto volatility is hijacking sentiment, dragging high-beta tech and AI names with it. Apple’s AI leadership change highlights Big Tech fragility. Shopify outages reveal infrastructure vulnerabilities. Market internals show declining momentum.
OPPORTUNITIES
December rotation is REAL. Small caps, retail, industrials, and lagging sectors often surge the first two weeks of December. This is prime “Trade the Turn” season. AI infrastructure, chips, data centers remain asymmetric opportunities.
THREATS
Crypto shakeouts, low liquidity, and surprise earnings warnings can spark flash volatility. Big Tech leadership changes = headline risk. Year-end tax-loss harvesting may create sharp swings in beaten-down names.
“Smart traders don’t fear volatility
—they invoice it."

FIRST WEEK of DECEMBER
This week is historically one of the strongest seasonal windows for small caps, retail, and cyclicals.
Why?
-
Hedge funds closing losing positions
-
Institutions rotating for next-year positioning
-
Retail cash returning post-Black Friday
-
Optimism bias → increases risk appetite
TFT Tactic:
Trade the rotation.
Look for laggard sectors catching new inflows.
First week of December is where new leaders quietly emerge.

THE DECEMBER TREND
If you miss the turn… you miss the run.
One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity.

On this day, Qualcomm surged 31% in ONE session on explosive CDMA adoption.
TFT Takeaway:
When new tech adoption inflects…
…it doesn’t rise.
It erupts.
(Exactly why AI infrastructure names are the 2025 version of 1999 telecom.)
.
“The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses on Wall Street, even among the professionals.”
— Jesse Livermore

GIVING TUESDAY EDITION
— Luke 12:48:
God gave you abundance.
Not scarcity.
Not fear.
Not confusion.
Abundance.
The real question is:
Are you using the gifts you’ve been given?
Or are you hiding them in the ground like the fearful servant?
You’ve been given time.
Opportunity.
Skill.
Access to markets previous generations could only dream about.
Today, honor the gift by elevating your craft.
“The abundant mind compounds.
The fearful mind cancels its own future.”
Give yourself the greatest gift you’ll unwrap this year: TIME FREEDOM.
Join the 2026 Time Freedom Coaching Cohort — the elite pathway to escaping the wage cage and compounding your way into a life of purpose, profit, and Providence.
Invest in your 2026.
Invest in your freedom.
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We see:
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Rotation before it rotates
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Turns before they trend
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Opportunities while everyone else is still doomscrolling
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