Welcome to Tactical Thursday 
Where Precision Pays and Hesitation Costs.

Stocks were little changed ahead of this morning’s open following bad news/good news for the job market. Layoff announcements for the year topped 1.1 million, the most since 2020, according to consulting firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Initial jobless claims, however, retreated and came in lower than expected, according to the Labor Department.

Prediction Markets
= Wall Street’s New Toys

Robinhood dropped 3 BILLION prediction contracts traded in November.
Polymarket is the new casino.
Welcome to Wall Street 4.0—where everything is tradable… including political gossip.

Warner Bros. Discovery: Hollywood’s Last Dance

Paramount, Comcast, Netflix all circling WBD like vultures smelling IP gold.
Why?
Because WBD owns the Infinity Gauntlet of content: DC Heroes, Harry Potter, LOTR, GOT, Looney Tunes, Scooby-Doo.
This is not a bidding war—this is The Avengers: Endgame of intellectual property.

Bitcoin’s 30% Crash = Textbook Normal

History lesson:
Every cycle includes multiple 30–40% faceplants before blasting to all-time highs. Charts are screaming: “Relax. Reload. Rebound incoming.”

ADP Miss → Rate Cut Locked In

Worse-than-expected payrolls?
Perfect.
Stocks love bad news when the Fed needs an excuse.
89% probability of a rate cut next week.
Fed drift season = Santa’s money printer warming up.

Nvidia Has a Problem… Too Much Cash

$60.6B in cash & short-term investments.
Jensen could literally buy half of Silicon Valley and still have room for dessert.

Micron Yeets Its Consumer Business

Why?
AI chips need memory more than gamers need RGB lights.
Shares up 175% YTD.

GM’s New “Silicon Valley Cowboy”

Sterling Anderson wants GM to innovate faster.
Translation: “Move like Tesla… but with GM’s checkbook.”

— Jesse Livermore

Futures are coasting after a 3-day melt-up to kick off December. Call it the “sip-your-coffee-before-we-rip-higher” open.

• DOW: +0.08%

• S&P: +0.06%

• NASDAQ: –0.40%

• RUSSELL: –0.28%

• VIX: 16.12 (complacency’s back on the menu)

• BITCOIN: $93,190

• GOLD: $4,224

• OIL: $59.33

• 10YR: 4.099%

• DOLLAR: 98.91
  
  

Summary:
The market isn’t asleep—it’s crouching. And crouching charts pounce.

STRENGTHS 
“The Wind at Our Back”

The bulls still own the field. Fed drift is supplying a soft bullish breeze, weak labor data is practically begging for a rate cut, and seasonality is stacked in our favor heading into the Super Six window. Add Nvidia’s $60B+ war chest fueling AI infrastructure, and momentum has a clear direction: up and to the right

WEAKNESSES 
“The Cracks Beneath the Surface”

Volatility in Bitcoin is shaking risk appetite, Snowflake’s cold guidance reminded everyone that froth still exists, and the WBD bidding saga is injecting noise into an already fragile media sector. The market isn’t breaking—but it’s definitely wobbling in a few corners

OPPORTUNITIES
 “The Open Lanes for Smart Money”

Small caps are waking up, AI supply-chain plays are accelerating, and prediction markets are creating entirely new pockets of liquidity and price discovery. Traders who follow rotation—not headlines—are stepping into some of the cleanest setups December has offered yet

THREATS
 “The Shadows We Don’t Ignore”

Tariff uncertainty still looms, labor data is deteriorating, and the political tug-of-war over AI regulation threatens to choke innovation if mishandled. Add the possibility of sentiment swings in a fragile macro backdrop, and this market can turn on you fast if you’re not prepared.

1️⃣  Treat Thursday as a Range Exploitation Day

NFP = big Friday gap risk.
So on Thursday:

• Expect muted trend, exaggerated intraday swings inside a range.

• Fade emotional extremes back to VWAP or key support/resistance.

• Avoid marrying a direction. Think: rent the move, don’t own the idea.

 Don’t predict the print. Exploit the drift

2️⃣ Cut Size, Tighten Risk, Shorten Duration

You’re trading noise inside a known landmine window.

• Smaller position size than typical.

• Shorter hold times — scalp or intraday swings, rarely overnight.

• Use options with defined risk if you must hold through Friday.

Ask yourself:

If NFP nukes my bias tomorrow, will today’s position blow up my month… or just annoy me?

If the answer scares you—you’re too big.

3️⃣  Let the Internals Tell You “Which Side to Rent”

Use T.U.R.N. without getting cute:

• Tune In: Check VIX, breadth, sector rotation. If internals are weak, lean toward fading pops. If strong, buy dips.

• Understand Rotation: Who’s holding strength ahead of the print? Safety (XLU, staples)? Risk (QQQ, SMH)? Trade with that rotation intraday.

• Retracement Zones: Only act at key levels (prior day high/low, VWAP, 50/200 EMA).

• Nail the Power Zone: Wait for confirmation (stoch/RSI cross, volume pop) before entries.
  
  
  

4️⃣ Build “Probe Positions,” Not Full-Conviction Bets

If you want exposure into NFP:

• Scale in with 1/3 or 1/2 size probes near extremes.

• Choose indices or mega caps over small, illiquid trash.

You’re not swinging for a home run.
You’re buying the seat at the table for Friday’s move, at a discount

5️⃣ No-Trade Zone: Know When to Sit on Your Hands

Set a hard personal cutoff:

• After last hour of cash session, no new hero trades.

• If you’re green and the market gets choppy → walk away.

• Protect your emotional capital for Friday.

You don’t get paid for how often you trade.
You get paid for how selectively you strike

6️⃣ Tactical Question to Anchor Your Discipline

Before you click:

If tomorrow’s NFP rips 2% against my bias, will I be proud of today’s risk… or embarrassed by my impulse?

If the honest answer is “embarrassed”—you already know the move:
reduce size, shorten time, or don’t trade it.

Consequence of inaction:
If you don’t build a Thursday playbook, you’ll either:

• Overtrade chop and go into NFP tilted, or

• Sit frozen on Friday, watching the big move happen… with no plan and no position.

Neither builds a Financial Flywheel.

On this day in 1996, Alan Greenspan uttered “irrational exuberance” for the first time…

The market dipped for 48 hours—then resumed one of the greatest multi-year rallies in history.

TFT Takeaway:
The market doesn’t care about your fear.
But it deeply rewards your discipline.

Over the last 50 years, 81% of all S&P 500 returns happened in just 6% of trading days.

Miss the melt-ups?

Miss the wealth.

This is why Time Freedom Traders don’t chase…

We retrace, reload, and ride.

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SEE the Market 
Like a Time Freedom Trader!

Most people stare at charts the way rookies stare at MRI scans —
lots of squiggles… zero understanding… and a whole lot of “uhhh, is this bad?”

Time Freedom Traders don’t look at the market.
We see it — in 3D, in real time, with clarity sharp enough to slice through Wall Street noise.

We see:

• Rotation before it rotates

• Catalysts before they explode

• Turns before they trend

• Opportunities while everyone else is still doomscrolling

This is the difference between traders and operators.
One guesses.
One reads the market like a playbook.

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