Read more of the
The W.T.F. Report
December 12th, 2025


"PAYDAY" FRIDAY
December 12th, 2025
(because the market doesn’t care about your boss… but your brokerage account does.)
Today’s market feels like a high-society cocktail party where Tech showed up in designer shoes… and then tripped over the rug.
Meanwhile, the Dow is over in the “value corner” sipping bourbon like, “I’ve been here the whole time, kids.”
Rotation is the bouncer. Growth is getting “checked at the door.”
What’s Moving the Morning
Rotation out of tech keeps paying rent.
The Dow is trying to extend records while the Nasdaq plays the role of “moody artist” who can’t decide if it’s a genius or a victim.
Broadcom drops hard even with strong numbers.
That’s the market saying: “Great job… now show me margins.” AI expectations are so high they need their own oxygen mask.
Lululemon pops on CEO exit + strong results.
Nothing says “fresh start” like the market throwing confetti because leadership is changing. Wall Street loves a reboot. Especially when it’s not their job.
Fed drama: dissent is the new black.
Goolsbee basically said, “I’m not anti-cut… I’m pro-more-data.” Translation: inflation’s still acting spicy and he wanted to see more receipts. Reuters
Cannabis stocks rip on reclassification chatter.
Schedule talk = tax talk = capital talk. The market heard “less restriction” and immediately started shopping for Lambos.
AI regulation framework + global AI chess moves stay in focus.
The AI trade isn’t dead. It’s just getting audited
Today’s Key Market Events
Fed Speak hangover: expect traders to overreact to every syllable like it’s a Marvel end-credits scene.
Rotation watch: financials / industrials / healthcare acting like the adults in the room while AI names reprice “perfect.”
“The reason you have a job....
is because your money is unemployed!
LETS FIX THAT!
— The Bald Bull


““It never was my thinking that made the big money for me.
It always was my sitting.”
— Jesse Livermore
You’re paid to wait for the turn, not chase the noise.
PRE-MARKET INTERNALS
DOW +0.19%
Old money is doing push-ups in the corner.
Blue chips are getting love as traders rotate into “I sleep better at night” stocks. Boring is beautiful again.
S&P -0.07%
Flat with attitude.
The market’s basically shrugging and saying, “I’ll decide after coffee.” This is digestion, not danger.
NASDAQ -0.46%
Tech is in timeout.
Not dead. Not broken. Just re-pricing perfection. When great earnings get sold, expectations were the real bubble.
RUSSELL +0.07%
Small caps quietly sipping espresso.
Lower rates + economic sensitivity = sneaky strength. This is rotation, not a meme rally.
VIX 15.03
Complacent but awake.
No fear. No panic. Just enough tension to keep traders honest. Low VIX doesn’t mean “all-in,” it means “be precise.”
BITCOIN $92,620
Risk appetite still breathing.
Crypto isn’t panicking — it’s consolidating. Translation: speculative money hasn’t left the building.
GOLD $4,373
The silent bodyguard.
Gold keeps climbing while equities party. That’s not fear — that’s smart money hedging the after-party.
OIL $57.58
Energy’s saying, “I’m not impressed.”
Low oil = inflation pressure stays muted. The Fed is watching this like a hawk with a calculator.
10-YR 4.181
Rates still sticky.
Cuts happened, but yields are reminding everyone who actually runs the show. Growth stocks feel this first.
DOLLAR 98.41
Strong, not screaming.
A steady dollar keeps global flows calm — but it also tightens conditions just enough to punish sloppy trades.
Bottom Line:
This is Payday Friday in a rotating market.
No fireworks. No fear. Just capital quietly changing seats.
If you’re chasing — you’re late.
If you’re rotating — you’re early.

MARKET HEAT MAP - LIVE
PreMarket: “The Winners and Losers"
STOCKS IN THE GREEN (+)
Tilray (TLRY) +28% — reclassification rumors lit the fuse.
Lululemon (LULU) +9.4% — CEO exit + beat = “new era” dopamine.
RH +3% — mixed quarter, but the stock took the compliment anyway.
Citigroup (C) +1% — upgrade bounce, suit-and-tie strength.
STOCKS IN THE RED (–)
Costco (COST) -0.2% — beat numbers, still got a tiny “meh.”
Broadcom (AVGO) -6% — strong report, weaker vibe.
Fermi -33% — funding deal loss = market hit the eject button.

Strengths: The tape is still constructive under the surface — Dow leadership + steady VIX signals risk appetite hasn’t left the building. This is rotation, not panic.
Weaknesses: Mega-cap AI is showing “expectation fatigue.” When great results cause a selloff, it’s not about numbers — it’s about positioning and crowded trades.
Opportunities: Rotation creates clean lanes: financials, industrials, healthcare are getting fresh capital flows while tech cools. That’s how you get paid without chasing.
Threats: The Fed’s internal disagreement is a reminder: the market can party… until inflation crashes the party with a folding chair. Reuters+1
“Smart traders
don’t fear volatility
—they invoice it."

Dec 12 has seen some wild historical swings in the Dow — including a standout gain day back in 1914 and a brutal drop in the early 1900s.
Translation:
December smiles… but it can still bite.
Holiday takeaway:
Seasonality is a tailwind, not a guarantee. The move is to trade the turn, not trust the tinsel.

DECEMBER = YOUR SEASONAL EDGE
December is historically one of the stronger months for U.S. equities in many long-term datasets — often around ~1.4% average in S&P 500 terms depending on the sample window.
Nuance that makes you better than average:
Holiday liquidity can make breakouts look real… until they aren’t.
This is prime season for patience premiums: wait for confirmation, trade cleaner rotation leaders, and avoid getting chopped by headline whiplash.
“The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades.
Money is secondary.”
— Alexander Elder

““Let us not become weary in doing good, for at the proper time we will reap a harvest if we do not give up.”
— Galatians 6:9
THE SEASON OF SELECTIVE SOWING
December is harvest season in the market too — not because you “hope harder,” but because you sow better habits all year: preparation, patience, process.
Why it matters for TFT:
Your edge isn’t a mood. It’s a method. Keep showing up. Keep grading. Keep refining. The harvest doesn’t reward the loud — it rewards the consistent.
“The abundant
mind compounds.
The fearful mind
cancels its own future.”
This weekend, act like the trader you’re becoming in 2026.
Clean the watchlist. Map the rotation. Plan your zones.
So when Monday opens, you’re not “reacting”… you’re operating.
And if you want the fast-track playbook?
The TFT Tactics Monthly Newsletter is the unfair advantage: rotation targets, catalysts, mindset drills, and the kind of clarity that makes Monday mornings feel… profitable.
One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity.
That’s how Payday Friday becomes Payday Life.

“FAST FORWARD to DECEMBER of 2026"
Fast-forward 12 months.
It’s December 2026.
The Fed is doing whatever the Fed does.
AI is on its 7th hype cycle.
But here’s the only question that matters:
Are you still hoping rate cuts save your portfolio…
or are you calmly executing a proven trading operating system that funds your lifestyle, your legacy, and your time freedom?
You just read a full breakdown of:
-
How the macro winds are shifting.
-
Where rotation and reversal trades are setting up.
-
How to weaponize something as simple as an engulfing candle for asymmetric entries.
The next move isn’t more information.
It’s installation.
So ask yourself — honestly:
If you keep trading the way you traded in 2025,
will you be any closer to time freedom by next December?
If the answer stings, good. That’s your signal.
Lock in a plan with Time Freedom Trading — the E.D.G.E. system, the $1K Way, the Tactics Newsletter, the whole Financial Flywheel — and give your future self a very different December.
Because you’re one trade, one turn, one moment of clarity away from changing your life.
And if this hit you… you already know what you’re supposed to do next.
🎁 Build your Financial Flywheel.
🎁 Learn to trade with clarity, consistency, and conviction.
🎁 Step into the new year: take your time back.
Imagine compounding skill, capital, and confidence for 12 months straight…
Would that change your 2026?
You’re just one trade away.
Want to
"SEE"
the Market
Correctly?

SEE the Market
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Most people stare at charts the way rookies stare at MRI scans —
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We see:
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Rotation before it rotates
-
Catalysts before they explode
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Turns before they trend
-
Opportunities while everyone else is still doomscrolling
This is the difference between traders and operators.
One guesses.
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| The "Bald Bull


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