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December 22nd, 2025


December 22nd, 2025
Get the Eggnog ready!
Sweet. Smooth.
And if you overdo it…
you wake up with a chart hangover
and regret texts to your broker.
Holiday week is finally here!
The market’s basically wearing sweatpants and pretending it’s “working from home.”
What’s Moving Pre-Market
We survived Quad Witch Friday… and the market didn’t explode. That alone deserves a cookie. Tech rebounded late last week.
Nasdaq closing back above the 50MA on the daily chart is the kind of “fuel for the sleigh” setup bulls like to see.
And yes… the lights are back on in San Francisco.
Waymo paused robotaxis after blackout chaos, then resumed service Sunday night.
Translation: even the robots were like, “Nah… you drive.”
VIX is sleepy at ~14.
That’s the market whispering: “I’m calm.”
Which is usually right before it does something unhinged.
Market Calendar:
The Week in One Breath
-
Tuesday: Real GDP + Consumer Confidence
-
Wednesday: Early close (Christmas Eve)
-
Thursday: Market closed (Christmas)
-
This week: GDP + Jobless Claims in the mix
Santa’s reindeer are carb-loading.
Wall Street is too… just with call options and denial.

Santa Rally Watch
“Santa Claus rally” season is the market’s annual tradition of pretending calendars create profits.
What matters today:
If tech keeps holding that reclaim above the 50MA, the tape can stay constructive into the holiday window.
The danger:
Thin liquidity can turn normal moves into “why is my P&L screaming?” moves.
Nvidia + China:
The Catalyst Under the Tree
Nvidia chatter about H200 shipments to China is a reminder:
AI isn’t just a trade… it’s a geopolitical soap opera with better lighting.
Trader translation:
This is a headline-driven catalyst. Expect sudden pops, sudden fades, and whiplash for anyone trading without a plan.
“Big money is made in the stock market by being on the right side of the major moves.” — Jesse Livermore


What’s Driving the Tape...
PRE-MARKET STATS
DOW: +0.10%
-
S&P: +0.50%
-
NASDAQ: +0.67%
-
RUSSELL: +0.57%
-
VIX: 14.90
-
BITCOIN: 89,955
-
GOLD: 4,457
-
OIL: 57.86
-
10Y: 4.160
-
DOLLAR: 98.358
The Read: Risk-on tone. Small caps showing up. Volatility acting like it already left for Aspen.
— Jesse Livermore
“The reason you have a job....
is because your money is unemployed!
LETS FIX THAT!

MARKET HEAT MAP - LIVE
PreMarket: “The Winners and Losers".
STOCKS IN THE GREEN (+)
IREN +6.24%
BE +5.00%
WBD +3.00%+
MRVL +2.20%
NVDA +2.00%
ORCL +2.00%
MSTR +2.00%
MARA +2.00%
HOOD +1.90%
BLSH ~+1.00%
OLLI +1.00%+
STOCKS IN THE RED (–)

Strengths: Tech rebounded, and Nasdaq reclaiming the 50MA is a clean “risk appetite still lives” signal. VIX under 15 keeps the premium market relaxed, which supports trend continuation and controlled pullbacks rather than panic cascades.
Weaknesses: Holiday week liquidity is thin, and thin liquidity makes charts lie with a straight face. Dow lag + retail softness is still a drag, and single-stock headline risk can move indexes more than fundamentals right now.
Opportunities: Santa season setups favor disciplined continuation trades, controlled dip-buys in leading names, and premium-selling tactics when volatility is muted. If consumer confidence and GDP don’t surprise, the market can drift higher simply because nobody’s around to argue.
Threats: A sleepy VIX can wake up fast on surprise data, geopolitical headlines (especially chips/China), or “one weird risk-off candle” caused by year-end positioning. Also: robots in San Francisco are still learning what a traffic light is… so maybe don’t assume markets are perfectly rational either.
“Smart traders
don’t fear volatility
—they invoice it."

The “Sleepy VIX, Sharp Knife” Play
When VIX is low, the market looks safe.
That’s when amateurs get cute… and pros get precise.
Surprising stat (that matters):
With VIX ~14.9, the market is pricing roughly ~0.94% expected move per day (implied).
And for a shortened holiday week (about ~2.5 full-session equivalents), that’s roughly ~1.5% total expected movement.
So what do we do with that?
-
Trade smaller and cleaner. Liquidity lies.
-
Use the implied move to set realistic targets and tight risk.
-
Prefer defined-risk options (spreads) over naked hero trades.
-
Run T.U.R.N. before every entry:
-
Tune In: Data days = no-trade zones if chop starts.
-
Understand Rotation: Tech strength vs Dow drag is your map.
-
Retracement Zone: Don’t chase — you don’t chase, you retrace.
-
Nail the Power Zone: Confirm momentum before you commit capital.
-
“It’s not whether you’re right or wrong, it’s how much you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.” — George Soros
“Amateurs think about how much money they can make. Professionals think about how much money they could lose.” — Jack Schwager

Christmas week is a short session gauntlet: Monday + Tuesday are normal, Wednesday is a half day, then the market’s closed Thursday.
That’s only ~2.5 full trading days of “real” market time before the holiday pause.
Meaning: fewer hours… but headlines can still swing price like it’s a full week.
TFT takeaway:
Holiday weeks reward patience and process.
Not prediction. Not vibes. Not “I feel bullish because Santa’s beard is strong.”
“Amateurs think about how much money they can make. Professionals think about how much money they could lose.” — Jack Schwager
Holiday weeks don’t pay the loud. They pay the locked-in.
“The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades.
Money is secondary.”
— Alexander Elder

Year-End Nuance
A half-day session cuts the regular trading day in half… but it doesn’t cut emotional decision-making in half.
In fact, it compresses it.
Nuance to trade better:
-
If you’re trading into a half-day, treat it like a low-liquidity environment.
-
Reduce size. Widen patience. Tighten rules.
-
The goal isn’t activity. The goal is alignment.

Holiday week tempts traders into two sins: FOMO and freestyling.
“The plans of the diligent lead surely to abundance, but everyone who is hasty comes only to poverty.”
— Proverbs 21:5
Diligence is your edge.
Haste is how people donate money to the market and call it “tuition.”
Ask yourself:
If you can’t wait for a clean setup… how will you handle bigger money in 2026?
You already know the truth:
Average traders guess. Time Freedom Traders operate.
If you want 2026 to be the year you stop winging it and start compounding with a real system…
-
Join Time Freedom Trading and build your Wealth Operating System
-
Like / Subscribe / Share on social
-
Check the YouTube channel
-
DM me your questions
Rhetorical Consequence Question (Cost of Inaction):
If you drift through 2026 doing “holiday-week gambling” instead of system trading… what exactly do you think changes next December?
“The abundant
mind compounds.
The fearful mind
cancels its own future.”
READ OUR LATEST BLOG POST...

You didn’t fall behind in 2025.
You did great.
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And that’s exactly why this email exists.
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I just published a post breaking down:
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If you’re paying for trading education but not structuring it properly…
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Trading Education Tax Deduction – CPA-Ready Guide
Rhetorical Consequence Check:
If you’re already investing in your edge…
why let bad structure erode it?
“FAST FORWARD to DECEMBER of 2026"
If you want 2026 to be the year you stop reacting and start operating… join Time Freedom Trading.
You’ll learn to:
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Trade the retracement instead of chasing breakouts late
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Because the clock’s not ticking — it’s compounding.
And the market doesn’t pay hope… it pays execution.
Fast-forward 12 months.
It’s December 2026.
The Fed is doing whatever the Fed does.
AI is on its 7th hype cycle.
But here’s the only question that matters:
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or are you calmly executing a proven trading operating system that funds your lifestyle, your legacy, and your time freedom?
You just read a full breakdown of:
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How the macro winds are shifting.
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Where rotation and reversal trades are setting up.
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How to weaponize something as simple as an engulfing candle for asymmetric entries.
The next move isn’t more information.
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