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Dec 22 / The BALD BULL

December 22nd, 2025

The WTF Premarket Report isn’t your average Wall Street snooze-fest. It’s your daily tactical briefing—your morning intel—delivered with clarity, edge, and just enough snark to keep you caffeinated before the opening bell. Every edition breaks down the moves that matter: futures flow, Fed fireworks, political curveballs, sector rotations, and premarket movers that can make or break your day. Expect a SWOT analysis to sharpen your edge, a mindset reset to keep you disciplined, and a Bible truth that ties it all back to purpose. This isn’t noise—it’s navigation. Because in this game, you don’t need more headlines, you need clarity, conviction, and the courage to pull the trigger.

December 22nd, 2025

Get the Eggnog ready! 

Sweet. Smooth. 
And if you overdo it… 
you wake up with a chart hangover 
and regret texts to your broker.


Holiday week is finally here!
The market’s basically wearing sweatpants and pretending it’s “working from home.”


What’s Moving Pre-Market

We survived Quad Witch Friday… and the market didn’t explode. That alone deserves a cookie. Tech rebounded late last week.
Nasdaq closing back above the 50MA on the daily chart is the kind of “fuel for the sleigh” setup bulls like to see.


And yes… the lights are back on in San Francisco.
Waymo paused robotaxis after blackout chaos, then resumed service Sunday night.

Translation: even the robots were like, “Nah… you drive.”


VIX is sleepy at ~14.

That’s the market whispering: “I’m calm.”

Which is usually right before it does something unhinged.


Market Calendar: 
The Week in One Breath

  • Tuesday: Real GDP + Consumer Confidence

  • Wednesday: Early close (Christmas Eve)

  • Thursday: Market closed (Christmas)

  • This week: GDP + Jobless Claims in the mix

Santa’s reindeer are carb-loading.

Wall Street is too… just with call options and denial.


Santa Rally Watch

“Santa Claus rally” season is the market’s annual tradition of pretending calendars create profits.

What matters today:
If tech keeps holding that reclaim above the 50MA, the tape can stay constructive into the holiday window.


The danger:

Thin liquidity can turn normal moves into “why is my P&L screaming?” moves.

Nvidia + China: 
The Catalyst Under the Tree

Nvidia chatter about H200 shipments to China is a reminder:
AI isn’t just a trade… it’s a geopolitical soap opera with better lighting.

Trader translation:
This is a headline-driven catalyst. Expect sudden pops, sudden fades, and whiplash for anyone trading without a plan.

“Big money is made in the stock market by being on the right side of the major moves.” — Jesse Livermore


 What’s Driving the Tape...

PRE-MARKET STATS

  • DOW: +0.10%

  • S&P: +0.50%

  • NASDAQ: +0.67%

  • RUSSELL: +0.57%

  • VIX: 14.90

  • BITCOIN: 89,955

  • GOLD: 4,457

  • OIL: 57.86

  • 10Y: 4.160

  • DOLLAR: 98.358

The Read: Risk-on tone. Small caps showing up. Volatility acting like it already left for Aspen.


— Jesse Livermore


“The reason you have a job.... 
is because your money is unemployed! 

LETS FIX THAT!


PreMarket:  “The Winners and Losers".

STOCKS IN THE GREEN (+)

  • IREN +6.24%

  • BE +5.00%

  • WBD +3.00%+

  • MRVL +2.20%

  • NVDA +2.00%

  • ORCL +2.00%

  • MSTR +2.00%

  • MARA +2.00%

  • HOOD +1.90%

  • BLSH ~+1.00%

  • OLLI +1.00%+


  • STOCKS IN THE RED (–)

    HON -2.00%

    Strengths: Tech rebounded, and Nasdaq reclaiming the 50MA is a clean “risk appetite still lives” signal. VIX under 15 keeps the premium market relaxed, which supports trend continuation and controlled pullbacks rather than panic cascades.

    Weaknesses: Holiday week liquidity is thin, and thin liquidity makes charts lie with a straight face. Dow lag + retail softness is still a drag, and single-stock headline risk can move indexes more than fundamentals right now.

    Opportunities: Santa season setups favor disciplined continuation trades, controlled dip-buys in leading names, and premium-selling tactics when volatility is muted. If consumer confidence and GDP don’t surprise, the market can drift higher simply because nobody’s around to argue.

    Threats: A sleepy VIX can wake up fast on surprise data, geopolitical headlines (especially chips/China), or “one weird risk-off candle” caused by year-end positioning. Also: robots in San Francisco are still learning what a traffic light is… so maybe don’t assume markets are perfectly rational either.



     
    “Smart traders 
    don’t fear volatility
    —they invoice it."

    The “Sleepy VIX, Sharp Knife” Play


    When VIX is low, the market looks safe.

    That’s when amateurs get cute… and pros get precise.

    Surprising stat (that matters):
    With VIX ~14.9, the market is pricing roughly ~0.94% expected move per day (implied).

    And for a shortened holiday week (about ~2.5 full-session equivalents), that’s roughly ~1.5% total expected movement.

    So what do we do with that?

    • Trade smaller and cleaner. Liquidity lies.

    • Use the implied move to set realistic targets and tight risk.

    • Prefer defined-risk options (spreads) over naked hero trades.

    • Run T.U.R.N. before every entry:

      • Tune In: Data days = no-trade zones if chop starts.

      • Understand Rotation: Tech strength vs Dow drag is your map.

      • Retracement Zone: Don’t chase — you don’t chase, you retrace.

      • Nail the Power Zone: Confirm momentum before you commit capital.

    “It’s not whether you’re right or wrong, it’s how much you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.” — George Soros

    “Amateurs think about how much money they can make. Professionals think about how much money they could lose.” — Jack Schwager

    CHRISTMAS WEEK  

    Christmas week is a short session gauntlet: Monday + Tuesday are normal, Wednesday is a half day, then the market’s closed Thursday.

    That’s only ~2.5 full trading days of “real” market time before the holiday pause.
    Meaning: fewer hours… but headlines can still swing price like it’s a full week.

    TFT takeaway:
    Holiday weeks reward patience and process.
    Not prediction. Not vibes. Not “I feel bullish because Santa’s beard is strong.”

    “Amateurs think about how much money they can make. Professionals think about how much money they could lose.” — Jack Schwager


    Holiday weeks don’t pay the loud. They pay the locked-in.


    “The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades. 
    Money is secondary.”
    Alexander Elder

    Year-End Nuance

    A half-day session cuts the regular trading day in half… but it doesn’t cut emotional decision-making in half.
    In fact, it compresses it.

    Nuance to trade better:

    • If you’re trading into a half-day, treat it like a low-liquidity environment.

    • Reduce size. Widen patience. Tighten rules.

    • The goal isn’t activity. The goal is alignment.



    Holiday week tempts traders into two sins: FOMO and freestyling.

    “The plans of the diligent lead surely to abundance, but everyone who is hasty comes only to poverty.”    

    — Proverbs 21:5


    Diligence is your edge.
    Haste is how people donate money to the market and call it “tuition.”


    Ask yourself:

    If you can’t wait for a clean setup… how will you handle bigger money in 2026?

    You already know the truth:

    Average traders guess. Time Freedom Traders operate.

    If you want 2026 to be the year you stop winging it and start compounding with a real system…

    • Join Time Freedom Trading and build your Wealth Operating System

    • Like / Subscribe / Share on social

    • Check the YouTube channel

    • DM me your questions

    Rhetorical Consequence Question (Cost of Inaction):
    If you drift through 2026 doing “holiday-week gambling” instead of system trading… what exactly do you think changes next December?


    “The abundant 
    mind compounds.
    The fearful mind 
    cancels its own future.”

    READ OUR LATEST BLOG POST...

    You didn’t fall behind in 2025.

    You did great.

    You learned AI.
    You used it at work.
    You optimized workflows.
    You made yourself more “efficient.”

    And that’s exactly why this email exists.

    Because there’s an uncomfortable truth no one at work is saying out loud:  The better you worked with AI in 2025,
    the easier it is for AI to work without you in 2026.

    January reorgs don’t care about effort.
    They care about math.

    And AI wins that math every time.


    I just published a post breaking down:

    • Why using AI at work often means training your replacement

    • How Q1 2026 reorgs will quietly cut roles, not “jobs”

    • The MIT research that shows how much white-collar work AI can already do

    • And the only real counter-plan when your career doesn’t have one for you


    This isn’t hype.

    It’s positioning.


    If your income disappears when your job does,

    you’re exposed.

    👉 Read the post here before the calendar decides for you.

    IS TIME FREEDOM TRADING TAX DEDUCTIBLE?

    If you’re paying for trading education but not structuring it properly…
    you might be overpaying twice.

    Once to learn.

    Again at tax time.


    Most traders guess.
    The IRS doesn’t reward guessing — it rewards structure.

    We broke down exactly when trading education may qualify as a tax deduction, how active traders set it up CPA-clean,
    and what documentation actually matters.


    👉 Read this before your CPA does:
    Trading Education Tax Deduction – CPA-Ready Guide

    Rhetorical Consequence Check:

    If you’re already investing in your edge… 
    why let bad structure erode it?

    “FAST FORWARD to DECEMBER of 2026"


    If you want 2026 to be the year you stop reacting and start operating… join Time Freedom Trading.

    You’ll learn to:

    • Trade the retracement instead of chasing breakouts late

    • Use the 50MA/200MA like a pro (structure, bias, risk)

    • Build a Wealth Operating System that compounds skill into freedom

    Because the clock’s not ticking — it’s compounding.
    And the market doesn’t pay hope… it pays execution.




    Fast-forward 12 months.

    It’s December 2026.

    The Fed is doing whatever the Fed does.

    AI is on its 7th hype cycle.

    But here’s the only question that matters:


    Are you still hoping rate cuts save your portfolio…

    or are you calmly executing a proven trading operating system that funds your lifestyle, your legacy, and your time freedom?

    You just read a full breakdown of:

    • How the macro winds are shifting.

    • Where rotation and reversal trades are setting up.

    • How to weaponize something as simple as an engulfing candle for asymmetric entries.

    The next move isn’t more information.

    It’s installation.

    So ask yourself — honestly:

    If you keep living  the way you lived in 2025,
    will you be any closer to time freedom by next December?

    If the answer stings, good. That’s your signal.

    Lock in a plan with Time Freedom Trading — the E.D.G.E. system, the $1K Way, the Tactics Newsletter, build a Financial Flywheel — and give your future self a very different December.


    Because you’re one trade, one turn, one moment of clarity away from changing your life.

    And if this hit you… you already know what you’re supposed to do next.



    🎁 Join the 2026 Time Freedom Coaching Cohort.
    🎁 Build your Financial Flywheel.
    🎁 Learn to trade with clarity, consistency, and conviction.
    🎁 Step into the new year:  take your time back.

    Imagine compounding skill, capital, and confidence for 12 months straight…

    Would that change your 2026?

    You’re just one trade away.


    Empty space, drag to resize

    Want to 
    "SEE" 
    the Market 
    Correctly?  

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    Most people stare at charts the way rookies stare at MRI scans —
    lots of squiggles… zero understanding… and a whole lot of “uhhh, is this bad?”

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    We see:

    • Rotation before it rotates

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    • Opportunities while everyone else is still doomscrolling


    This is the difference between traders and operators.
    One guesses.
    One reads the market like a playbook.

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    Discover how Time Freedom Trading can help you start building your Financial Flywheel and your trading plan to HIT SIX in 2026!

    Freedom awaits—are you ready to claim it?

     | The "Bald Bull

    P.S. If you want to get free,
    book a call with me!



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    "Wall Street never changes.  The pockets change, the suckers change, the stocks change, but Wall Street never changes, because human nature never changes."
                                                                                 - Jesse Livermore



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    THE TIME FREEDOM TRADING SYSTEM empowers Main Street with Wall Street knowledge and tools to compound wealth and earn time freedom through proven trading and investing strategies. Learning how the stock market works from the inside is critical to compounding wealth consistently in any market environment. Time Freedom Trading empowers you to build your own financial flywheel based upon your skills and goals.  Regardless of the technology or market volatility, with TIME FREEDOM TRADING you will have the right mentor and mental coach who will reveal the patterns in human nature that don’t repeat but do rhyme which you can profit from. Whether it’s stocks, options, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), or futures, we empower you with an effective skill set and tools for everyone at every level of experience to earn time freedom.

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