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The W.T.F. Report
January 5th, 2026


Monday
January 5th, 2026
“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.”
— John Maynard Keynes
“January Is the Airport Security Line.”
Everyone shows up confident.
Half the crowd forgot their passport.
A few know exactly where they’re going — and walk straight through TSA PreCheck.
2026 doesn’t start with fireworks.
It starts with rotation.
No speeches.
No predictions.
Just money quietly changing seats.
“Big money is made in the stock market by being on the right side of the major moves.” — Jesse Livermore


2026 ROTATION THEMES — WEEK ONE READ
This isn’t a bull market.
It’s a seat-reshuffling exercise.
-
Commodities: Inflation insurance with muscles
-
Prediction Markets: Volatility finally getting monetized
-
Space & Defense: Budgets don’t care about opinions
-
AI Ramp: Infrastructure eats hype for breakfast
Rotation is the market’s love language.
Ignore it and you’ll misread everything.
PRE-MARKET STATS
Futures are green, but calm — the dangerous kind of calm.
-
Dow: +0.04%
-
S&P 500: +0.29%
-
Nasdaq: +0.71%
-
Russell 2000: +0.21%
-
VIX: 15.12 (asleep, not sedated)
Macro Tape
-
Bitcoin flexing at $92,990
-
Gold shining at $4,423
-
Silver screaming at $75.44
-
Oil holding $57.83
-
10-Year steady at 4.19%
-
Dollar still acting confident at 98.78
This is not panic.
This is positioning.
HEADLINES THAT ACTUALLY MATTER
Over the weekend, Donald Trump dropped a geopolitical curve ball.
The U.S. executed a major operation in Venezuela.
Nicolás Maduro was captured and brought to New York for indictment.
The market’s reaction?
A collective shrug… followed by oil stocks moon walking higher.
Because Wall Street has a rule:
Drama fades. Cash flow compounds.
Investors are betting this is contained, not contagious.
History backs them up.
Geopolitical shocks spike emotion — not earnings.
ENERGY WAKES UP
If Venezuela opens up, infrastructure doesn’t rebuild itself with hope.
-
Chevron ripped +7% overnight
-
Exxon Mobil pushed higher
-
Halliburton jumped like it smelled contracts
This isn’t about oil prices.
It’s about who gets paid to fix things.
Follow the shovels.

CES WEEK — TALK IS CHEAP, GUIDANCE IS GOLD
Las Vegas lights are on.
So is institutional attention.
-
AMD — Lisa Su sets the tone
AI PCs. Data centers. Less hype, more roadmap. -
Nvidia — Jensen Huang
Platforms. Simulation. AI everywhere.
When Jensen talks, capital listens. -
LG
OLED dominance with AI wrapped around it.
CES isn’t about gadgets.
It’s about where capex goes to live.

EV REALITY CHECK
Tesla lost the global EV crown.
BYD took it.
Deliveries missed.
Growth slowed.
Competition didn’t ask for permission.
Markets don’t punish brands.
They punish stagnation.
IPO CORNER
Media IPOs are rare.
That alone makes this worth watching — not chasing.
GLP-1 — THE NEXT ROUND
Lower price.
Wider access.
Same massive demand curve.
Eli Lilly isn’t far behind.
This market isn’t shrinking.
It’s evolving..
AI SUPPLY CHAIN CONFIRMATION
Servers don’t lie.
Data centers don’t hallucinate.
AI spend is still accelerating — quietly.
MARKET HEAT MAP - LIVE
PreMarket: “The Winners and Losers".
STOCKS IN THE GREEN (+)
1️⃣ Halliburton | +9%
Oilfield services stole the crown. When infrastructure gets rebuilt, Halliburton doesn’t debate — it bills. This is picks-and-shovels money rotating in fast.
2️⃣ QXO | +9%
Private equity showed up with a $1.2B check. Apollo-led capital injections tend to do one thing well: reprice expectations upward. Wall Street loves sponsored growth.
3️⃣ Chevron | +7%
Chevron already has boots on the ground in Venezuela. When access opens, incumbents win first. This move screams positioning, not speculation.
4️⃣ Duolingo | +4%
Upgraded to buy. Wall Street finally admitting this isn’t just an app — it’s an engagement machine with pricing power disguised as a cartoon owl.
5️⃣ Mobileye | +4%
Analysts like the risk/reward again. Autonomy isn’t dead — it just went quiet while hype tourists left the room.
6️⃣ Exxon Mobil | +4.2%
Big oil doing what big oil does best: staying boring, profitable, and politically insulated. Not flashy — effective.
7️⃣ Micron | +3.8%
AI needs memory. Lots of it. DRAM doesn’t trend on X, but it shows up on earnings.
8️⃣ Nvidia | +1.2%
Still green. Still leading. But this was more confirmation than ignition. CES will decide the next gear.
STOCKS IN THE RED (–)
1️⃣ Uber Technologies | −1%
Just a bruise — not a breakdown.
But the message matters: autonomy risk is getting priced back in. When Waymo and Tesla whisper expansion, Uber flinches.
No panic yet.
Just valuation sensitivity creeping back into the chat.
Notice the pattern:
-
Energy + infrastructure surged hardest
-
AI supply chain quietly lifted
-
Speculative narratives didn’t lead
-
Downgrades mattered immediately
This is Week One capital doing what it always does:
rotating into cash-flow visibility, not hope.
Question worth sitting with:
Are you trading what you believe…
or what money is actually buying?
Because average traders guess.
Time Freedom Traders rotate.

STRENGTHS
The market enters the first full week of 2026 with clear rotational strength, not blind optimism. Energy, oil services, AI infrastructure, and select healthcare names are attracting intentional capital, not retail excitement. Volatility remains contained, the VIX is calm, and indices are firm — signaling institutions are reallocating, not de-risking. This is a constructive environment where leadership is emerging early, which historically favors disciplined traders who follow money flow instead of headlines. Strength right now is quiet, methodical, and paid for in advance.
WEAKNESSES
Broad index strength is masking internal dispersion. Not everything is working — and that’s the trap. When Nasdaq is green and volatility is low, weaker names get ignored until they suddenly don’t. Momentum traders chasing last year’s winners risk buying tops while institutions rotate underneath them. Add in thin post-holiday liquidity and CES headline noise, and you have a market where false confidence can feel like clarity. This is not a market that forgives laziness or oversized conviction.
OPPORTUNITIES
Week one is fertile ground for traders who understand early-cycle positioning. CES guidance can define tech leadership for Q1. Energy services may benefit from multi-month infrastructure narratives tied to geopolitics. GLP-1 expansion introduces a second growth wave beyond injectables. AI continues shifting from hype to hardware, favoring suppliers and enablers over storytellers. The opportunity isn’t in predicting outcomes — it’s in aligning with where capital is quietly committing before the crowd notices.
THREATS
The biggest threat isn’t geopolitics, rates, or elections — it’s reactionary behavior. Headline-driven overtrading, early overconfidence, and ignoring position sizing are classic January mistakes. Thin liquidity can exaggerate moves both ways, punishing impatience. Another threat is narrative fatigue: traders anchoring to 2025 winners while institutions move on. Markets don’t warn before rotating — they simply leave you holding yesterday’s story. In week one, the cost of inattention is small. The cost of stubbornness compounds fast.
TFT BOTTOM LINE
This is not a market to chase.
It’s a market to observe, align, and scale into.
January doesn’t reward excitement.
It rewards structure.
And structure is where Time Freedom Traders operate.
“Smart traders
don’t fear volatility
—they invoice it."

NEW YEAR STRATEGY
January doesn’t reward enthusiasm.
It rewards alignment.
Historically, the first two trading weeks of January often define Q1 leadership, driven by institutional reallocation — not retail optimism.
That’s not hype.
That’s money moving with intent.
“You don’t need to be right. You need to be positioned.”
— Stan Druckenmiller

Christmas week creates thin volume and fake breakouts.
January money loves fading December illusions.
The “Sleepy VIX, Sharp Knife” Play
READ OUR LATEST BLOG POST...

You didn’t fall behind in 2025.
You did great.
You learned AI.
You used it at work.
You optimized workflows.
You made yourself more “efficient.”
And that’s exactly why this email exists.
Because there’s an uncomfortable truth no one at work is saying out loud: The better you worked with AI in 2025,
the easier it is for AI to work without you in 2026.
January reorgs don’t care about effort.
They care about math.
And AI wins that math every time.
I just published a post breaking down:
Why using AI at work often means training your replacement
How Q1 2026 reorgs will quietly cut roles, not “jobs”
The MIT research that shows how much white-collar work AI can already do
And the only real counter-plan when your career doesn’t have one for you
This isn’t hype.
It’s positioning.
If your income disappears when your job does,
you’re exposed.
👉 Read the post here before the calendar decides for you.
IS TIME FREEDOM TRADING TAX DEDUCTIBLE?

If you’re paying for trading education but not structuring it properly…
you might be overpaying twice.
Once to learn.
Again at tax time.
Most traders guess.
The IRS doesn’t reward guessing — it rewards structure.
We broke down exactly when trading education may qualify as a tax deduction, how active traders set it up CPA-clean,
and what documentation actually matters.
👉 Read this before your CPA does:
Trading Education Tax Deduction – CPA-Ready Guide
Rhetorical Consequence Check:
If you’re already investing in your edge…
why let bad structure erode it?
“FAST FORWARD to DECEMBER of 2026"
If you want 2026 to be the year you stop reacting and start operating… join Time Freedom Trading.
You’ll learn to:
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Trade the retracement instead of chasing breakouts late
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Use the 50MA/200MA like a pro (structure, bias, risk)
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Build a Wealth Operating System that compounds skill into freedom
Because the clock’s not ticking — it’s compounding.
And the market doesn’t pay hope… it pays execution.
Fast-forward 12 months.
It’s December 2026.
The Fed is doing whatever the Fed does.
AI is on its 7th hype cycle.
But here’s the only question that matters:
Are you still hoping rate cuts save your portfolio…
or are you calmly executing a proven trading operating system that funds your lifestyle, your legacy, and your time freedom?
You just read a full breakdown of:
-
How the macro winds are shifting.
-
Where rotation and reversal trades are setting up.
-
How to weaponize something as simple as an engulfing candle for asymmetric entries.
The next move isn’t more information.
It’s installation.
So ask yourself — honestly:
If you keep living the way you lived in 2025,
will you be any closer to time freedom by next December?
If the answer stings, good. That’s your signal.
Lock in a plan with Time Freedom Trading — the E.D.G.E. system, the $1K Way, the Tactics Newsletter, build a Financial Flywheel — and give your future self a very different December.
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🎁 Step into the new year: take your time back.
Imagine compounding skill, capital, and confidence for 12 months straight…
Would that change your 2026?
You’re just one trade away.
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"SEE"
the Market
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Most people stare at charts the way rookies stare at MRI scans —
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Time Freedom Traders don’t look at the market.
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We see:
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Rotation before it rotates
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Catalysts before they explode
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Turns before they trend
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Opportunities while everyone else is still doomscrolling
This is the difference between traders and operators.
One guesses.
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